NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	94		Excitement	7.9 [352]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +25.1%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	2.9 [722]		LVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL): -23.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.2	0.06	0.11	-0.03	13	54%	0.19	1	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	10	70%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	20	55%	0.11	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.14
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Duke Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	3	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.09	0.01	-0.12	-0.02	12	58%	0.08	3	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.13	-0.01	22	64%	0.41	5	-0.15	12	75%	0.05
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.11	0.00	5	114%	0.31	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	9	75%	0.26	4	-0.16	6	100%	0.07
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.18,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.17	-0.08	-0.01	8	12%	-0.12	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	26.3	14.8	28.3	2.3	41.4	139.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +10.8%

DAL +22.4%

DAL +22.7%

BKN -13.7%

DAL +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DAL	NBA	BKN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.2	14.4	106.8	105.5	113.4
season	14.4	15.2		113.7	115.5
opponent	14.3	14.8		115.8	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.6	18.0	15.1	16.2	15.9
DAL	14.8	15.4	15.5	19.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	25	28	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	0	-2	16.0	15.9	0.04	13.9	17.3	-3.44
Edmond Sumner	38	37	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.12	6	-8	14	15.2	16.5	-1.27	18.0	15.0	2.96
Day'Ron Sharpe	0	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-2	2	0.0	15.9	-15.93	1.0	16.4	-15.41
David Duke Jr.	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.14	-7	5	-12	17.0	15.8	1.17	11.4	16.6	-5.21
Ben Simmons	28	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.14	-7	5	-12	16.2	15.8	0.47	17.4	15.7	1.68
Patty Mills	12	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	3	-8	19.2	15.4	3.75	20.2	15.5	4.69
Yuta Watanabe	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	5	-12	18.3	15.6	2.67	13.4	16.5	-3.10
Joe Harris	62	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.58	13	-15	28	15.2	17.6	-2.39	16.3	16.2	0.04
Nic Claxton	59	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.55	5	-7	12	15.9	16.0	-0.05	15.7	17.4	-1.68
Kevin Durant	72	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-3	4	15.6	17.2	-1.61	15.5	19.4	-3.90
Royce O'Neale	74	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-2	2	15.6	17.5	-1.86	16.9	12.9	4.00
Cam Thomas	52	54	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.41	-7	5	-12	16.6	15.0	1.62	16.7	15.5	1.18

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	55	52	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.21	18	-16	34	16.3	16.1	0.17	16.7	14.8	1.95
Josh Green	50	48	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-9	20	16.3	16.2	0.13	16.4	15.4	0.98
Dwight Powell	40	39	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-5	12	17.4	15.3	2.07	16.5	15.5	1.04
Luka Doncic	74	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	3	-4	15.5	19.4	-3.90	15.6	17.2	-1.61
Dorian Finney-Smith	66	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.57	-7	9	-16	15.9	17.1	-1.21	15.8	16.4	-0.62
Tim Hardaway Jr.	26	25	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	-4	10	15.8	16.4	-0.55	17.0	15.5	1.55
Spencer Dinwiddie	53	52	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	5	-8	17.2	15.0	2.18	15.6	16.5	-0.91
JaVale McGee	8	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	6	-10	14.0	16.5	-2.46	13.3	16.2	-2.87
Christian Wood	40	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.09	-1	3	-4	15.5	16.8	-1.23	16.3	15.7	0.63
Reggie Bullock	43	43	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.19	-18	20	-38	17.0	15.6	1.35	14.3	17.5	-3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.53,0.7,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 94, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.5,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	92.0%
IND 91, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.85,1,1	91.9%
NYK 89, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.26,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.99,1	91.4%