NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	6.8 [424]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): +19.6%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	4.5 [390]		LVP	Al Harrington (NYK): -23.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.03	0.14	-0.02	17	51%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.00	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.04	0.06	12	64%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	14	42%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Al Harrington	-0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.06	-0.14	0.02	18	43%	-0.10	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.07	0.02	16	62%	0.19	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	11	52%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	68%	0.14	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.05
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	0.02	18	47%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	0.07	14	61%	0.06	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	28.2	15.4	25.0	2.4	39.6	137.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +28.3%

CHI +14.4%

CHI +14.3%

NYK -7.9%

CHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.3	94.7	105.4	106.0
season	14.7	14.7		105.9	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.9	15.5	18.6	15.0	15.7
CHI	17.5	12.2	14.8	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	70	68	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-19	29	15.5	16.3	-0.81	15.9	13.0	2.88
Eddy Curry	7	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.17	-11	2	-13	16.4	15.6	0.80	12.0	15.4	-3.36
Toney Douglas	12	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	1	-11	13.1	16.1	-2.99	9.5	15.9	-6.44
David Lee	80	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.36	5	-14	19	15.4	17.4	-2.04	15.3	13.9	1.40
Chris Duhon	86	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-7	5	15.6	16.5	-0.88	15.3	12.7	2.58
Danilo Gallinari	55	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.12	-22	13	-35	15.7	15.7	-0.09	14.1	16.6	-2.58
Jared Jeffries	75	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	0	-9	16.6	12.1	4.49	16.0	11.3	4.68
Wilson Chandler	85	85	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	-3	-3	15.8	15.1	0.64	15.0	16.4	-1.39

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	76	74	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.17	23	-14	37	15.0	15.6	-0.59	16.2	13.7	2.47
Taj Gibson	54	54	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.08	23	-14	37	14.5	15.9	-1.40	16.9	14.0	2.90
Luol Deng	82	83	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-6	21	14.5	19.8	-5.34	15.7	15.7	-0.04
John Salmons	68	68	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	4	1	15.0	15.4	-0.45	15.5	16.1	-0.59
Joakim Noah	72	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.49	-10	19	-29	15.8	12.6	3.21	16.1	14.4	1.63
Derrick Rose	67	70	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	19	-29	16.0	12.9	3.09	14.9	18.0	-3.16
Brad Miller	46	48	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.13	-1	10	-11	14.9	15.3	-0.43	14.4	17.1	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.26,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	91.8%
IND 91, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.85,1,1	91.0%
DET 79, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.49,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.93,0.84,0.97,1,1	90.9%