inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 92 Excitement6.9 [472] MVPGrant Hill (ORL): +15.4%
Orlando Magic 107 Comeback2.8 [733] LVPTony Battie (ORL): -13.9%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mehmet Okur0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.011057%0.091-0.053100%0.02
Jarron Collins0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.02-0.02844%0.021-0.012100%0.01
Curtis Borchardt0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.05-0.032256%0.183-0.19475%0.00
Howard Eisley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Raja Bell-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.031045%0.053-0.122100%0.01
Gordan Giricek-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00735%-0.0700.00367%-0.02
Carlos Arroyo-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.050.03756%-0.041-0.044100%0.03
Andrei Kirilenko-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00855%-0.003-0.086100%0.05
Keith McLeod-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.0030%-0.081-0.0400%0.00
Matt Harpring-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.01340%-0.033-0.104100%0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grant Hill0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.140.050.041876%0.273-0.126100%0.03
Steve Francis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.050.011672%0.227-0.171471%-0.06
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.020.02654%-0.0300.001100%-0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.010.04650%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.020.03564%0.011-0.05475%-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.001340%-0.0800.00475%-0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01538%-0.023-0.08333%-0.03
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.01817%-0.1400.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.72.428.416.826.22.530.6135.6
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +28.3%
UTA -6.9%
ORL +8.0%
ORL +23.8%
UTA -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAORLNBAUTAORLNBA
this game15.413.615.592.0109.2104.0
season16.714.3102.3102.9
opponent15.515.1105.1106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA14.614.517.915.015.4
ORL12.016.213.413.313.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gordan Giricek47470.35-0.851.19-0.0112-273916.814.22.6412.914.4-1.48
Jarron Collins33310.20-0.700.90-0.017-222915.215.5-0.3312.414.2-1.84
Curtis Borchardt17160.01-0.510.520.010-151514.515.6-1.0917.113.04.16
Howard Eisley1110-0.10-0.400.290.01-4-11713.715.6-1.9117.113.23.85
Mehmet Okur4544-0.17-0.330.170.10-9-6-315.515.40.0712.614.5-1.91
Keith McLeod2625-0.20-0.300.110.01-7-8113.716.0-2.3013.213.8-0.59
Carlos Arroyo6363-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-11716.413.72.7013.314.3-1.04
Andrei Kirilenko7776-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.08-7-8115.814.01.8013.912.71.24
Carlos Boozer7979-0.560.06-0.62-0.18-13-2-1116.013.42.5913.514.2-0.64
Matt Harpring4948-0.700.20-0.90-0.02-238-3114.316.5-2.1614.013.30.74
Raja Bell5351-0.850.35-1.19-0.05-2712-3914.216.8-2.6414.412.91.48

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Francis86900.71-0.210.920.1021-62713.613.9-0.3115.812.33.48
Tony Battie45510.53-0.030.560.151321114.712.72.0215.015.9-0.96
Grant Hill80800.480.020.450.041501513.912.61.3316.112.83.29
DeShawn Stevenson55540.330.170.170.24312-913.413.9-0.5115.815.00.80
Pat Garrity42410.310.190.120.1178-113.813.50.3314.616.0-1.43
Kelvin Cato72710.200.30-0.11-0.0796312.616.7-4.1015.714.90.80
Hedo Turkoglu54570.170.33-0.15-0.12105513.813.40.4214.816.3-1.53
Stacey Augmon790.020.48-0.46-0.04213-1111.113.8-2.6911.615.8-4.26
Dwight Howard3737-0.040.54-0.57-0.07114-1314.213.30.9216.614.81.81
Jameer Nelson1210-0.210.71-0.92-0.03-621-2713.913.60.3112.315.8-3.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 97, DET 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.96,1,192.3%
UTA 86, CHI 950.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.97,0.99,192.1%
MIL 97, POR 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.95,1,1,1,192.0%