NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	7.0 [458]		MVP	Bobby Portis (CHI): +27.0%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	2.6 [207]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -11.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	11	46%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Joe Ingles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Withey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dante Exum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	5	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.07
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.08	-0.07	0.04	11	69%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	42%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	12	31%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	16	41%	-0.03	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.10	0.01	13	79%	0.27	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.02	0.18	-0.02	12	46%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	18	53%	0.10	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.02	10	43%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.05	0.03	12	54%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	28.5	15.8	26.2	2.4	30.2	128.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +56.5%

CHI +1.3%

UTA -15.7%

CHI +13.4%

UTA -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	17.9	14.0	14.8	94.5	106.7	107.7
season	16.1	15.1		108.0	105.9
opponent	14.8	15.0		105.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	20.6	17.3	17.3	17.9
CHI	13.5	15.3	12.2	15.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	32	30	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-12	15	16.0	19.0	-3.01	13.8	14.2	-0.35
Alec Burks	39	37	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-11	13	16.9	18.7	-1.79	13.5	14.4	-0.94
Jeff Withey	22	22	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.07	-2	-7	5	19.5	17.4	2.02	11.5	14.9	-3.31
Dante Exum	28	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-11	13	14.9	19.3	-4.43	16.6	12.9	3.70
George Hill	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	3	-15	19.5	12.2	7.27	13.0	17.8	-4.84
Rudy Gobert	66	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	-2	-5	18.0	17.7	0.28	14.7	12.3	2.44
Gordon Hayward	69	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	-2	-5	17.4	19.5	-2.02	14.6	12.5	2.04
Joe Ingles	66	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.23	-12	3	-15	18.6	16.1	2.54	13.8	14.6	-0.78
Joe Johnson	62	62	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.31	-12	3	-15	18.3	17.1	1.20	14.3	13.4	0.95

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	51	52	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-8	25	14.1	14.0	0.06	17.0	19.1	-2.06
Paul Zipser	53	53	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	0	9	13.4	15.0	-1.62	20.9	13.8	7.10
Joffrey Lauvergne	14	12	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	3	3	16.9	13.5	3.35	16.8	18.1	-1.26
Denzel Valentine	54	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	1	7	14.2	13.7	0.53	16.5	20.2	-3.70
Bobby Portis	56	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	1	7	15.0	12.5	2.51	16.9	19.6	-2.75
Jimmy Butler	71	73	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	8	-7	14.4	12.7	1.64	16.9	22.2	-5.36
Robin Lopez	56	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	7	-5	13.6	14.8	-1.15	16.9	19.8	-2.86
Nikola Mirotic	33	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	8	-7	12.5	15.0	-2.51	19.6	16.9	2.75
Cristiano Felicio	19	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	8	-7	13.2	14.3	-1.05	21.7	16.9	4.75
Rajon Rondo	38	39	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.12	-8	17	-25	14.0	14.1	-0.06	19.1	17.0	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	92.1%
IND 91, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.54,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	91.9%
PHI 118, MIL 126	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.66,0.55,0.72,0.84,0.98,1	91.8%