NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	6.3 [587]		MVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): +19.7%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	3.2 [703]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -17.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	9	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	40%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.12	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.05
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	7	65%	-0.01	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.02
Scot Pollard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	13	53%	-0.02	3	-0.15	8	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.00	8	75%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.01	21	66%	0.26	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	15	47%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Billy Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	5	62%	-0.00	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.2	1.7	29.1	16.4	25.4	2.5	38.2	146.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +55.3%

IND -12.9%

IND -8.6%

NJN +19.8%

IND -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	17.4	15.9	15.5	108.3	110.1	104.0
season	16.8	16.0		101.9	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	18.1	20.1	17.5	17.4
NJN	16.9	17.0	15.1	14.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	23	25	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.05	10	-17	27	15.5	18.1	-2.61	13.4	16.9	-3.45
Jeff Foster	31	31	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.11	4	-11	15	19.2	16.4	2.87	16.0	15.9	0.17
Eddie Gill	19	19	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.11	0	-7	7	18.0	17.2	0.75	15.0	16.2	-1.17
Scot Pollard	16	17	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.06	1	-8	9	19.9	16.8	3.11	14.6	16.2	-1.65
Fred Jones	43	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-10	13	18.0	16.9	1.10	14.6	17.2	-2.54
Stephen Jackson	56	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-5	3	17.1	18.1	-1.09	16.6	14.4	2.17
Austin Croshere	52	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	-2	-3	17.2	17.7	-0.54	16.1	15.6	0.54
Anthony Johnson	67	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	1	-9	17.0	19.1	-2.06	16.0	15.4	0.60
Dale Davis	56	59	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.22	-20	13	-33	17.5	17.3	0.20	17.3	13.2	4.11
Reggie Miller	57	62	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.36	-18	11	-29	16.9	18.6	-1.73	16.1	15.4	0.68

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	56	53	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-9	25	16.1	15.7	0.40	18.2	16.0	2.19
Vince Carter	71	70	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-8	23	17.1	11.3	5.82	17.9	15.0	2.90
Jason Kidd	78	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-7	21	15.9	16.3	-0.40	17.6	16.1	1.49
Travis Best	36	34	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	4	-1	14.7	16.8	-2.06	16.9	17.8	-0.95
Jason Collins	71	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	2	3	16.4	13.9	2.48	17.2	18.1	-0.87
Jacque Vaughn	45	42	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	3	1	16.3	15.5	0.79	17.2	17.6	-0.36
Billy Thomas	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	9	-11	2.0	16.1	-14.08	0.0	17.6	-17.63
Clifford Robinson	43	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	12	-17	14.1	17.6	-3.54	17.6	17.2	0.40
Zoran Planinic	6	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	11	-15	13.7	16.1	-2.42	8.4	18.0	-9.59
Rodney Buford	19	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	11	-15	14.8	16.2	-1.44	16.1	17.7	-1.60
Brian Scalabrine	19	17	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	14	-21	17.5	15.5	2.04	18.8	17.1	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.54,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 87, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.66,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,1	92.6%
BOS 96, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.77,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	92.5%
HOU 98, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.54,0.73,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.1%