NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	7.9 [281]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +13.9%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	4.5 [671]		LVP	Clint Capela (HOU): -33.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Dekker	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	11	48%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Montrezl Harrell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	52%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Patrick Beverley	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.01	12	58%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.04	0.01	18	40%	-0.05	6	-0.14	7	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.14	-0.19	0.00	13	29%	-0.18	3	-0.15	2	0%	-0.08

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.09	0.03	18	59%	0.18	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	12	58%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	4	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	20	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	11	25%	-0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	29.1	16.4	31.8	0.2	30.4	135.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +46.4%

HOU -5.6%

HOU -6.2%

GSW +12.8%

GSW +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	14.5	14.8	100.0	112.6	107.7
season	13.7	13.5		113.2	114.9
opponent	15.1	14.9		103.3	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	13.9	17.1	15.5	15.3
GSW	13.2	12.3	15.5	17.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Dekker	40	38	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.07	6	-15	21	15.2	15.3	-0.08	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Clint Capela	54	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-12	15	15.6	14.9	0.70	14.8	14.2	0.62
Patrick Beverley	61	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-7	5	15.2	15.5	-0.26	14.9	13.9	0.97
Eric Gordon	75	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-7	5	15.5	14.7	0.78	14.9	13.0	1.88
Montrezl Harrell	44	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	3	-15	14.9	15.6	-0.70	14.2	14.8	-0.62
James Harden	71	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	5	-19	15.4	15.1	0.26	14.4	14.8	-0.34
Lou Williams	71	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	-2	-5	15.1	15.8	-0.72	14.1	15.7	-1.62
Trevor Ariza	74	71	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.18	-17	8	-25	15.3	15.2	0.17	14.5	14.5	0.05

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	68	69	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.19	15	-6	21	14.6	14.5	0.08	15.5	14.9	0.57
Stephen Curry	68	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-5	19	14.4	14.8	-0.34	15.4	15.1	0.26
Shaun Livingston	42	43	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	6	-3	14.0	15.0	-1.00	15.1	15.5	-0.36
Andre Iguodala	55	58	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	15.1	13.7	1.40	15.3	15.3	-0.05
Matt Barnes	51	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	5	-1	15.7	13.2	2.52	15.6	14.9	0.75
Klay Thompson	72	74	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	10	-11	14.9	13.3	1.68	14.8	16.8	-2.04
JaVale McGee	22	25	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	-1	11	12.1	15.3	-3.12	15.1	15.4	-0.24
Ian Clark	34	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	10	-11	13.8	15.0	-1.20	14.8	15.6	-0.77
James Michael McAdoo	12	12	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.05	1	8	-7	12.2	14.9	-2.71	16.8	15.1	1.75
David West	27	27	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.22	-5	14	-19	14.8	14.4	0.34	15.1	15.4	-0.26
Zaza Pachulia	24	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	14	-19	14.9	14.4	0.45	16.1	15.0	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.54,0.73,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 86, MIL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.83,0.86,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	93.0%
BOS 96, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.77,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	92.7%
IND 91, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.54,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	92.1%