NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	8.9 [134]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +28.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	126		Comeback	3.2 [531]		LVP	Johnny Newman (MIL): -17.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	28	66%	0.30	4	-0.22	11	82%	0.04
Adrian Caldwell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Doug Overton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Mark Hendrickson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	18	51%	0.09	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	61%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Michael Cage	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	8	28%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Frankie King	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.1,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	17	53%	0.04	5	-0.15	15	87%	0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.16	0.13	0.00	22	73%	0.40	3	-0.12	11	82%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.10	0.01	12	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.01	0.02	18	67%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	9	54%	0.12	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.05
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	10	42%	-0.07	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	24.2	16.0	26.1	1.7	43.0	136.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +47.4%

PHI -13.1%

MIL +11.6%

MIL +7.7%

PHI -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	13.5	14.9	15.6	115.7	124.8	104.4
season	14.7	16.0		101.4	103.9
opponent	15.5	14.7		106.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.5	15.0	14.5	11.4	13.5
MIL	19.2	15.6	12.1	13.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Hendrickson	27	27	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-6	4	12.5	13.9	-1.37	12.2	15.8	-3.64
Michael Cage	76	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-12	16	13.5	13.7	-0.17	15.7	12.6	3.03
Frankie King	19	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-6	4	13.5	13.5	-0.00	11.9	15.6	-3.78
Doug Overton	19	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-4	0	11.4	14.0	-2.59	15.1	14.8	0.32
Mark Davis	68	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	14.2	12.2	1.99	16.2	12.1	4.10
Adrian Caldwell	23	24	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	4	-16	14.7	13.2	1.56	13.2	15.4	-2.21
Jerry Stackhouse	98	96	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	13.6	12.7	0.81	14.9	14.6	0.26
Allen Iverson	91	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	13.5	14.0	-0.53	14.6	17.7	-3.09
Clar. Weatherspoon	89	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	-2	-4	13.5	13.5	-0.01	15.4	11.7	3.64

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	69	68	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.25	17	-9	26	14.1	16.4	-2.23	13.1	14.3	-1.15
Vin Baker	78	78	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	0	8	14.3	16.8	-2.50	13.1	14.9	-1.76
Ray Allen	71	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	0	8	15.8	12.5	3.30	13.5	13.5	0.02
Glenn Robinson	80	81	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	7	-6	14.1	17.6	-3.43	13.0	15.6	-2.57
Elliot Perry	36	34	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	-1	10	13.6	15.6	-2.01	14.1	13.2	0.93
Joe Wolf	40	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	-7	22	14.5	15.1	-0.62	16.3	11.7	4.56
Sherman Douglas	65	68	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	9	-10	15.6	13.6	2.01	13.2	14.1	-0.93
Armen Gilliam	14	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	10	-12	14.4	14.9	-0.49	14.7	13.3	1.41
Chucky Brown	33	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	13	-18	15.9	14.3	1.62	13.1	13.7	-0.66
Andrew Lang	19	19	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	18	-28	18.3	14.0	4.27	12.8	13.7	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.66,0.55,0.72,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.84,1	92.7%
HOU 93, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.66,0.69,0.96,1,1,1	92.5%
MEM 110, LAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	91.9%