NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	110		Excitement	8.9 [122]		MVP	Craig Smith (LAC): +22.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	113		Comeback	3.0 [510]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -17.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	6	83%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	5	64%	0.15	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.06	0.17	-0.10	0.01	20	62%	0.06	0	0.00	13	85%	0.02
Hasheem Thabeet	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	17	44%	-0.04	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.01
Sam Young	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	13	52%	0.03	6	-0.15	5	60%	-0.03
O.J. Mayo	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	12	33%	-0.05	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.00	11	75%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.00	9	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	16	59%	0.11	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.04
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	17	44%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	12	58%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	32.8	15.7	26.5	2.3	41.4	147.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.4%

LAC +4.7%

MEM -9.8%

LAC +19.7%

LAC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	13.3	15.1	15.3	106.8	113.0	106.0
season	15.4	15.5		106.8	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.0		108.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.0	13.2	12.9	14.3	13.3
LAC	13.1	16.2	14.3	17.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	30	29	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-8	13	13.2	13.4	-0.19	17.3	14.2	3.11
Sam Young	32	31	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.10	-2	-1	-1	14.2	12.9	1.33	15.6	14.9	0.79
Hasheem Thabeet	23	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	3	-9	15.4	12.7	2.69	14.6	15.3	-0.69
Mike Conley	71	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-10	17	12.7	14.6	-1.92	15.1	15.1	0.01
Marcus Williams	32	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	7	-17	14.6	12.7	1.92	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Marc Gasol	79	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-5	7	12.8	14.9	-2.11	15.4	14.0	1.45
O.J. Mayo	78	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	-2	1	13.1	14.0	-0.87	15.7	13.4	2.32
Rudy Gay	89	87	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.49	-1	-2	1	12.9	15.7	-2.79	14.7	17.9	-3.24
Zach Randolph	81	79	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.43	-9	6	-15	13.5	12.6	0.90	13.8	20.0	-6.14

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	89	91	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	-2	7	14.4	20.8	-6.42	13.3	13.2	0.06
Craig Smith	43	43	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-5	13	17.5	13.3	4.27	14.3	12.6	1.76
Rasual Butler	81	84	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	5	-7	14.9	15.9	-0.98	13.1	14.2	-1.05
Baron Davis	56	60	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.38	-2	5	-7	15.1	15.0	0.10	13.0	13.7	-0.68
Chris Kaman	80	82	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.31	-2	5	-7	15.5	13.6	1.81	13.5	12.6	0.86
Sebastian Telfair	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	-1	5	14.7	15.4	-0.67	13.5	13.2	0.31
Marcus Camby	59	62	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	4	-5	14.5	16.0	-1.53	12.5	14.5	-2.01
DeAndre Jordan	16	18	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.00	4	-1	5	10.7	15.9	-5.25	13.3	13.3	0.04
Al Thornton	31	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	2	-1	17.2	14.1	3.08	13.8	13.1	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 80, LAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.84,1	92.0%
PHI 118, MIL 126	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.66,0.55,0.72,0.84,0.98,1	91.9%
DAL 106, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.4,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.85,1	91.3%