NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	7.3 [354]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (GSW): +33.7%
Golden State Warriors	105		Comeback	2.6 [814]		LVP	Jason Terry (HOU): -18.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.14	0.02	27	59%	0.30	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Tarik Black	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	2	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	15	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Clint Capela	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	15	40%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.09	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	17	47%	0.02	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.04
Jason Terry	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	7	14%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.17	0.18	0.01	9	95%	0.39	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	13	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	61%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	9	42%	0.08	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.04	15	65%	0.17	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	4	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	18	52%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	28.9	15.7	25.3	2.5	26.6	126.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +36.2%

GSW +16.9%

HOU -2.4%

HOU -0.6%

HOU -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	13.8	15.1	95.9	107.1	104.2
season	14.3	13.6		105.6	109.2
opponent	15.5	14.9		99.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	16.9	16.1	15.3	15.7
GSW	13.7	13.7	12.7	15.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Dorsey	23	26	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.02	10	-22	32	14.6	16.1	-1.49	14.2	13.7	0.42
Nick Johnson	39	39	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.19	-6	-6	0	15.7	15.7	0.07	13.9	13.8	0.13
Troy Daniels	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-9	6	14.5	15.7	-1.23	14.3	13.8	0.50
Clint Capela	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-9	6	14.5	15.7	-1.23	14.3	13.8	0.50
Tarik Black	42	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-10	8	16.1	15.4	0.70	13.3	14.3	-0.98
James Harden	80	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-7	2	15.7	15.5	0.21	13.5	15.7	-2.25
Trevor Ariza	88	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	-1	-10	15.7	16.0	-0.33	14.3	10.6	3.62
Donatas Motiejunas	71	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	-3	-6	15.8	15.3	0.54	14.1	13.3	0.74
Patrick Beverley	80	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	-1	-10	15.8	15.2	0.56	13.9	13.7	0.17
Jason Terry	58	58	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.13	-20	8	-28	15.6	15.8	-0.24	13.7	14.1	-0.47

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	76	76	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.21	16	-4	20	13.9	13.6	0.27	15.7	15.8	-0.14
Draymond Green	68	68	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-1	14	13.9	13.7	0.26	15.8	15.5	0.26
Shaun Livingston	57	56	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.05	18	-6	24	14.2	13.3	0.91	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Harrison Barnes	81	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.13	13	-1	14	14.0	13.2	0.81	15.6	16.3	-0.71
Klay Thompson	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	4	4	13.4	15.0	-1.62	16.0	14.8	1.22
Andre Iguodala	49	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.08	2	10	-8	13.6	14.1	-0.43	15.5	15.9	-0.33
Leandro Barbosa	12	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	14	-16	14.9	13.7	1.22	14.3	15.9	-1.61
Festus Ezeli	34	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	16	-20	13.3	14.2	-0.89	16.2	15.4	0.82
Marreese Speights	41	41	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	16	-20	14.0	13.8	0.22	15.6	15.7	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.66,0.69,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 118, MIL 126	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.66,0.55,0.72,0.84,0.98,1	92.5%
LAC 88, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.44,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	91.6%
UTA 92, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	91.6%