NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	79		Excitement	6.4 [548]		MVP	Mickael Pietrus (ORL): +19.6%
Orlando Magic	90		Comeback	2.6 [760]		LVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): -16.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	12	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Will Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	10	48%	-0.03	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.12	-0.01	11	59%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.04	0.03	10	77%	0.17	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	5	71%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	14	46%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	12	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	8	50%	0.00	6	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	29.4	16.8	24.1	2.8	29.2	128.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +54.2%

DET -3.2%

ORL +2.1%

ORL +8.3%

DET -11.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	18.2	15.9	15.5	94.0	105.9	105.7
season	16.7	15.2		106.4	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.2		101.1	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.4	17.2	21.3	18.0	18.2
ORL	14.9	17.9	14.7	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	39	40	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-14	17	19.3	17.2	2.10	14.9	16.8	-1.92
Ben Wallace	43	43	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-11	11	18.7	17.6	1.11	14.8	17.1	-2.33
Tayshaun Prince	56	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-12	13	17.9	18.7	-0.79	15.4	17.0	-1.58
Rodney Stuckey	54	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-12	13	17.6	19.1	-1.47	15.5	16.7	-1.21
Richard Hamilton	47	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-4	-3	18.6	17.6	0.95	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Ben Gordon	38	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	17.4	18.8	-1.39	16.5	15.5	0.96
Will Bynum	30	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	1	-13	19.1	17.6	1.47	16.7	15.5	1.21
Charlie Villanueva	42	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-2	-7	17.6	18.7	-1.17	16.9	14.9	2.00
Greg Monroe	41	42	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	0	-11	17.6	18.7	-1.11	17.1	14.8	2.33
Tracy McGrady	30	31	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.10	-15	4	-19	18.3	18.1	0.23	17.2	15.2	1.92

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	71	71	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	-1	13	15.5	18.4	-2.89	18.2	17.7	0.55
Mickael Pietrus	51	51	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-7	25	16.6	14.9	1.72	17.9	18.5	-0.59
Brandon Bass	37	37	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-5	21	15.5	16.3	-0.76	19.6	17.0	2.57
Jameer Nelson	54	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	5	1	15.4	17.0	-1.62	18.2	18.1	0.02
JJ Redick	38	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.25	4	7	-3	16.7	15.3	1.39	17.6	18.6	-0.95
Rashard Lewis	54	53	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	11	-11	15.7	16.4	-0.65	17.8	18.8	-1.03
Vince Carter	47	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	4	3	15.3	16.7	-1.39	18.6	17.6	0.95
Chris Duhon	31	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	6	-1	17.0	15.4	1.62	18.1	18.2	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	14	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	12	-13	18.4	15.5	2.89	17.7	18.2	-0.55
Quentin Richardson	28	27	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.09	-12	23	-35	15.7	16.1	-0.34	17.4	18.5	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.49,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.93,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 100, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.59,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.93,0.92,1	91.8%
SAC 104, IND 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.76,0.82,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	91.6%
ATL 98, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.85,0.91,1,1	91.3%