NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	7.1 [414]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +21.6%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	3.9 [263]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): -14.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	-0.06	0.01	16	86%	0.31	5	-0.22	10	90%	0.06
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	69%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	17	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Doug Christie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	10	44%	-0.02	2	-0.07	12	67%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	14	36%	-0.06	2	-0.08	5	40%	-0.05
Bobby Jackson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.13	-0.02	11	69%	0.29	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.05
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	14	76%	0.23	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	8	69%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	14	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	17	40%	-0.10	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	26.2	15.8	30.2	2.3	28.6	127.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.5%

IND +1.5%

SAC -14.1%

IND +39.6%

SAC -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	15.6	101.0	113.7	102.3
season	14.2	15.3		106.6	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	14.3	13.0	14.9	13.8
IND	15.0	14.5	11.0	17.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	76	75	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.19	2	-14	16	13.6	14.3	-0.73	14.2	14.7	-0.54
Scot Pollard	35	36	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.10	-1	-11	10	14.7	13.4	1.30	14.1	14.4	-0.38
Mike Bibby	78	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-8	4	13.0	16.2	-3.23	13.6	16.5	-2.88
Peja Stojakovic	96	95	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-5	-2	13.7	15.4	-1.75	14.3	14.6	-0.29
Lawrence Funderburke	56	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-1	-10	13.7	13.9	-0.18	14.3	14.3	-0.04
Hedo Turkoglu	63	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-2	-8	13.8	13.8	-0.01	15.6	12.2	3.38
Vlade Divac	77	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	-1	-10	13.7	14.0	-0.27	13.6	16.4	-2.84
Bobby Jackson	34	33	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.19	-18	6	-24	15.8	12.8	2.94	15.8	13.6	2.24

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	38	36	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.17	19	-7	26	16.8	12.8	3.96	14.1	13.6	0.53
Al Harrington	66	68	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.15	19	-7	26	14.8	13.4	1.41	14.3	12.9	1.38
Jalen Rose	87	87	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-2	16	14.1	15.6	-1.52	13.5	15.3	-1.80
Jermaine O'Neal	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	3	6	14.6	13.7	0.94	13.5	14.4	-0.95
Reggie Miller	77	77	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	5	2	13.8	15.8	-1.98	13.5	14.7	-1.20
Austin Croshere	53	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	5	2	14.3	14.3	-0.08	14.4	13.2	1.17
Jonathan Bender	19	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.02	-1	13	-14	14.9	14.2	0.73	13.7	13.8	-0.06
Jamaal Tinsley	64	67	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	16	-20	13.1	16.3	-3.25	13.7	14.0	-0.36
Carlos Rogers	11	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	14	-16	15.9	14.1	1.80	14.4	13.7	0.64
Jeff Foster	27	28	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	20	-28	12.8	14.9	-2.08	13.7	13.8	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.76,0.82,0.96,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, MIL 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.67,0.57,0.81,0.73,0.85,0.96,1,1,1	91.8%
MIN 102, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	91.8%
NJN 88, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1	91.8%