NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	7.7 [358]		MVP	Malcolm Brogdon (MIL): +24.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	114		Comeback	3.8 [551]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): -30.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royce O'Neale	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	2	133%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	90%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	8	54%	0.11	2	-0.09	10	60%	-0.01
Tyler Cavanaugh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Mitrou-Long	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	11	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Joe Ingles	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.12	-0.04	24	50%	0.01	7	-0.17	4	100%	0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.14	-0.01	14	66%	0.26	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.10	0.00	8	88%	0.24	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	6	107%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	15	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	30	45%	0.01	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	11	27%	-0.09	6	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	27.4	14.4	25.6	2.4	31.2	127.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +24.5%

MIL +7.3%

MIL +8.6%

MIL +10.9%

UTA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIL	NBA	UTA	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	13.9	14.3	102.0	115.2	109.3
season	14.3	13.5		109.3	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.3		104.0	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.4	14.6	17.5	15.0	15.1
MIL	13.3	16.7	11.8	13.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Cavanaugh	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	18.0	15.1	2.95	24.0	13.8	10.24
Naz Mitrou-Long	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	18.0	15.1	2.95	24.0	13.8	10.24
Georges Niang	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	18.0	15.1	2.95	24.0	13.8	10.24
Ricky Rubio	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-11	10	12.7	15.4	-2.65	12.0	14.1	-2.11
Joe Ingles	66	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-13	14	15.3	14.6	0.70	14.2	13.1	1.15
Royce O'Neale	23	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-11	10	18.6	14.0	4.58	12.2	14.4	-2.23
Jae Crowder	59	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-9	6	14.8	15.4	-0.61	14.9	12.4	2.53
Raul Neto	61	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-8	4	14.3	16.3	-2.05	14.6	12.7	1.92
Derrick Favors	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-5	-2	14.6	15.8	-1.20	13.4	14.6	-1.21
Kyle Korver	51	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	3	-18	14.6	15.6	-1.04	13.7	14.0	-0.37
Rudy Gobert	80	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	2	-16	15.6	13.0	2.60	13.5	15.4	-1.93
Donovan Mitchell	85	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	4	-20	15.1	15.1	-0.06	13.5	16.0	-2.52

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	69	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.14	13	-1	14	12.4	17.1	-4.70	15.8	13.6	2.19
Thon Maker	36	37	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	7	-2	15.1	13.2	1.92	14.3	15.6	-1.29
Brook Lopez	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	0	12	13.1	15.4	-2.32	15.4	14.5	0.91
Eric Bledsoe	62	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	7	-2	13.7	14.2	-0.53	14.7	15.6	-0.91
Tony Snell	36	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	7	-2	15.2	13.1	2.14	14.3	15.5	-1.21
Sterling Brown	25	26	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	8	-4	12.5	14.3	-1.84	17.5	14.2	3.27
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	75	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	5	2	13.9	13.6	0.29	15.3	14.6	0.69
Malcolm Brogdon	64	66	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	5	2	14.4	12.9	1.42	14.3	16.5	-2.20
George Hill	43	46	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	10	-8	15.3	12.8	2.51	15.1	15.1	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	21	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	12	-12	14.1	13.8	0.30	14.4	15.3	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.67,0.57,0.81,0.73,0.85,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.89,0.99,1,0.98,1	92.5%
UTA 89, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	92.4%
VAN 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	92.4%