NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	6.9 [504]		MVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): +41.3%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	5.0 [144]		LVP	Jonathan Isaac (ORL): -18.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	8	53%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	16	55%	0.17	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	21	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	11	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	14	41%	-0.04	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.20	0.21	-0.00	9	106%	0.41	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.11	0.00	7	56%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	15	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	14	47%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	61%	0.08	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	22.4	15.3	27.6	1.7	38.2	132.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +87.3%

UTA -8.5%

UTA -2.3%

UTA -26.7%

ORL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.5	14.3	89.0	95.0	109.3
season	14.3	14.9		109.3	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.3		107.2	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.0	14.5	14.9	13.3	14.1
ORL	13.7	15.5	15.8	13.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	49	50	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.11	11	-18	29	15.0	13.3	1.69	15.9	13.2	2.66
Royce O'Neale	22	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-3	-1	15.6	13.7	1.86	14.9	14.4	0.45
Ricky Rubio	70	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-7	7	13.6	15.4	-1.85	14.1	15.5	-1.44
Joe Ingles	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-7	7	14.0	14.5	-0.53	14.2	15.3	-1.16
Donovan Mitchell	73	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-7	7	13.6	15.7	-2.14	14.2	15.4	-1.22
Dante Exum	30	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	0	-7	15.4	13.6	1.85	15.5	14.1	1.44
Rudy Gobert	71	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-4	1	13.8	15.0	-1.16	14.0	15.7	-1.73
Thabo Sefolosha	24	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-2	-3	16.1	13.5	2.61	16.2	14.0	2.22
Kyle Korver	36	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	3	-13	14.2	14.1	0.17	15.0	14.2	0.77
Jae Crowder	54	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	10	-27	13.2	15.2	-1.95	13.6	15.6	-1.93

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathon Simmons	44	44	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.00	21	-14	35	13.8	15.0	-1.19	15.1	13.4	1.66
D.J. Augustin	73	72	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	0	7	14.5	14.4	0.12	14.2	14.1	0.10
Jonathan Isaac	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	7	-7	14.9	13.6	1.35	14.2	13.9	0.30
Evan Fournier	72	72	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	5	-3	14.0	15.8	-1.74	13.6	15.4	-1.79
Nikola Vucevic	64	66	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	4	-1	14.0	15.5	-1.49	13.5	15.3	-1.79
Mo Bamba	36	34	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	3	1	15.7	13.8	1.88	15.3	13.5	1.79
Terrence Ross	48	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	3	1	15.1	13.9	1.20	14.3	14.0	0.36
Jarell Martin	10	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	3	1	12.8	14.7	-1.90	16.1	13.9	2.18
Jerian Grant	28	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	7	-7	14.4	14.5	-0.12	14.1	14.2	-0.10
Aaron Gordon	61	61	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.21	-10	17	-27	14.8	14.1	0.60	13.5	15.2	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, MIL 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.67,0.57,0.81,0.73,0.85,0.96,1,1,1	92.4%
NYK 104, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,1,1	92.2%
MIA 76, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,1	92.0%