NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	7.4 [322]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +22.7%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	4.2 [595]		LVP	Mardy Collins (NYK): -14.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.00	5	89%	0.26	3	-0.09	9	78%	0.03
David Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	5	79%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	13	54%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	22	45%	-0.00	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13	0.00	-0.07	0.06	19	50%	-0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	-0.01	0.21	-0.02	18	57%	0.32	5	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	21	45%	0.13	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.05
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	15	62%	0.13	3	-0.09	9	67%	-0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	26.4	15.5	30.6	0.6	36.4	138.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +41.6%

NYK -3.8%

GSW +1.2%

GSW +9.7%

GSW +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	13.7	15.4	102.0	103.9	105.7
season	15.7	13.5		103.1	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	15.7	15.0	13.4	14.6
GSW	11.4	15.6	14.4	13.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	46	46	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.18	13	-15	28	14.8	14.4	0.43	14.2	13.3	0.88
Jared Jeffries	5	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	3	-8	13.6	14.6	-1.02	8.0	14.0	-5.96
Quentin Richardson	82	82	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.46	12	-14	26	14.4	15.2	-0.85	13.9	12.6	1.33
Renaldo Balkman	59	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.38	6	-8	14	14.2	15.1	-0.99	14.1	13.1	1.05
Eddy Curry	40	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	8	-18	15.2	14.2	1.00	12.6	14.3	-1.67
Zach Randolph	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	10	-22	16.4	11.3	5.09	13.3	14.3	-0.99
David Lee	60	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	2	-6	12.8	17.1	-4.30	13.3	14.1	-0.78
Nate Robinson	57	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	4	-10	14.1	15.2	-1.13	14.6	12.6	1.97
Jamal Crawford	95	96	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.43	-4	2	-6	14.8	11.1	3.68	13.6	15.2	-1.59

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	76	75	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-13	28	13.7	13.4	0.33	14.6	14.4	0.17
Stephen Jackson	83	83	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-8	18	13.3	15.1	-1.70	14.0	16.8	-2.79
Andris Biedrins	86	86	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.25	14	-12	26	13.7	13.2	0.49	15.2	11.3	3.86
Monta Ellis	95	94	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-7	16	13.5	16.6	-3.12	15.1	8.5	6.59
Baron Davis	93	94	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-5	12	13.3	17.8	-4.51	14.0	21.6	-7.66
Mickael Pietrus	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	7	-12	16.1	13.5	2.66	18.5	14.3	4.18
Kelenna Azubuike	21	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.15	-12	14	-26	13.7	13.7	0.06	15.5	14.3	1.14
Matt Barnes	26	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.18	-14	16	-30	14.0	13.6	0.45	11.9	15.6	-3.64
CJ Watson	23	23	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.10	-14	16	-30	15.6	13.1	2.45	15.7	14.2	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	92.2%
NOH 82, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,1	91.7%
PHX 93, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.84,1	91.5%