NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	6.7 [460]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +26.3%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	4.9 [460]		LVP	Mark Jackson (UTA): -14.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.26	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.26	0.17	0.09	-0.00	15	78%	0.31	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Scott Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.01	-0.04	7	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	21	59%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	65%	0.01	3	-0.11	10	90%	0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	0.01	14	71%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	8	70%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	73%	0.11	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.06	0.01	17	55%	0.08	3	-0.06	10	80%	-0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	8	40%	0.00	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.0	28.1	15.7	29.2	1.7	32.2	133.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -0.4%

UTA +8.3%

UTA +37.7%

PHX -5.2%

UTA +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	18.0	15.5	106.9	116.5	101.6
season	15.0	16.3		101.1	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.9		101.1	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.6	14.7	16.8	18.6	15.5
UTA	18.1	18.0	13.7	23.7	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	51	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-11	16	15.6	15.4	0.23	18.4	17.5	0.87
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-7	8	14.7	18.8	-4.06	17.5	20.1	-2.62
Shawn Marion	72	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-8	10	15.3	16.5	-1.17	18.5	15.8	2.70
Anfernee Hardaway	65	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-8	10	15.0	16.9	-1.89	19.0	15.1	3.96
Randy Brown	13	15	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	0	-6	17.6	15.1	2.49	16.6	18.3	-1.73
Stephon Marbury	74	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-6	6	15.1	17.6	-2.49	18.3	16.6	1.73
Casey Jacobsen	18	17	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	2	-10	15.7	15.4	0.22	15.5	18.6	-3.12
Bo Outlaw	33	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	4	-14	15.5	15.5	0.03	16.0	19.3	-3.26
Jake Voskuhl	12	12	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	1	-8	18.2	15.1	3.20	20.5	17.6	2.88
Joe Johnson	27	27	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	3	-12	17.7	14.5	3.20	18.0	18.1	-0.09

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	40	41	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.32	19	-13	32	18.4	17.7	0.66	17.9	13.3	4.55
Scott Padgett	30	30	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.37	11	-5	16	20.6	16.6	3.98	17.6	14.4	3.16
Mark Jackson	36	34	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-8	22	15.3	20.0	-4.76	16.2	15.1	1.12
Greg Ostertag	44	46	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-5	16	17.5	18.6	-1.04	16.3	14.5	1.81
Matt Harpring	67	69	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	7	-8	17.2	21.2	-3.99	14.6	18.9	-4.28
Karl Malone	64	66	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	9	-12	17.5	19.5	-1.99	14.8	17.6	-2.80
Calbert Cheaney	63	64	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	12	-18	18.7	16.1	2.61	14.9	17.1	-2.22
John Amaechi	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	16.5	18.4	-1.89	13.0	16.0	-3.01
John Stockton	49	53	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.23	-8	14	-22	20.0	15.3	4.76	15.1	16.2	-1.12
Tony Massenburg	17	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	13	-20	18.0	18.0	-0.03	14.4	15.8	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,1,1	92.0%
MEM 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	91.9%
WAS 93, CHH 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.95,1	91.8%