NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	5.8 [648]		MVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): +10.9%
Charlotte Hornets	99		Comeback	3.8 [465]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -25.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Popeye Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Chris Whitney	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	81%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.00	4	64%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Michael Jordan	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18	-0.08	-0.06	0.03	28	45%	-0.08	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	8	85%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.04	0.02	6	73%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	83%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	3	112%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	13	42%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	7	80%	0.10	6	-0.19	1	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.11	0.00	16	42%	-0.11	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.7	27.1	19.4	26.4	2.6	41.2	144.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +49.7%

WAS -4.6%

CHH +27.9%

WAS -26.9%

CHH +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHH	NBA	WAS	CHH	NBA
this game	17.9	14.6	15.6	104.5	112.5	102.3
season	16.5	15.9		102.2	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		101.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.9	18.3	18.8	16.6	17.9
CHH	14.8	16.8	12.5	14.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	58	58	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.29	11	-17	28	17.2	19.3	-2.10	13.7	16.4	-2.63
Jahidi White	51	50	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-11	16	18.3	17.3	1.04	16.2	12.6	3.53
Kwame Brown	7	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-3	0	20.0	17.7	2.29	9.9	15.0	-5.19
Hubert Davis	72	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-9	12	17.3	20.5	-3.27	15.5	11.1	4.43
Michael Jordan	64	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-10	14	17.7	18.2	-0.49	15.1	13.5	1.56
Popeye Jones	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-6	6	17.8	18.0	-0.20	15.3	13.8	1.51
Etan Thomas	20	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	2	-10	17.2	18.1	-0.82	14.2	14.7	-0.50
Tyrone Nesby	31	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	8	-22	19.3	17.1	2.20	13.5	15.2	-1.67

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-1	8	14.3	15.8	-1.43	17.8	18.1	-0.21
David Wesley	83	83	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	4	-2	14.7	13.6	1.10	17.5	23.8	-6.38
Stacey Augmon	44	45	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	2	2	15.6	13.7	1.95	16.8	19.0	-2.24
Jamaal Magloire	25	24	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	-2	10	13.0	15.3	-2.29	18.4	17.7	0.72
P.J. Brown	50	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-4	14	13.7	15.8	-2.12	19.8	15.3	4.58
Robert Traylor	30	30	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	4	-2	17.3	13.3	3.99	16.4	18.6	-2.24
Elden Campbell	62	64	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	8	-10	15.5	12.5	2.98	17.9	17.8	0.12
Lee Nailon	51	51	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	7	-8	13.3	16.5	-3.19	18.1	17.6	0.58
Bryce Drew	25	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	6	-6	14.4	14.7	-0.33	18.1	17.8	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 89, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1	93.6%
DEN 97, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.89,1,1,1	93.3%
OKC 89, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.1%