NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	100		Excitement	7.9 [286]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (ATL): +20.2%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	2.9 [685]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -25.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.06	0.06	16	71%	0.20	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	7	60%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	29%	-0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	12	47%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.2,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24,-0.22,-0.26	-0.18	-0.08	-0.01	16	45%	-0.01	10	-0.25	8	100%	0.06

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	21	57%	0.26	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	12	52%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	7	36%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.18,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.03	-0.02	21	41%	0.04	4	-0.09	12	75%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	31.4	16.4	26.7	3.3	46.5	152.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.5%

ATL -5.1%

WAS +31.7%

ATL -8.6%

ATL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	13.2	14.8	99.0	99.0	107.7
season	14.4	14.4		104.2	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.3	13.9	17.0	12.4	14.8
WAS	12.5	14.9	13.2	12.4	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	15	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	0	-4	17.7	14.3	3.48	12.0	13.4	-1.44
Ersan Ilyasova	54	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.37	10	-14	24	14.9	14.7	0.17	13.7	12.6	1.13
Kris Humphries	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	5	-14	16.5	14.2	2.21	13.8	13.0	0.81
Malcolm Delaney	27	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	7	-18	17.1	13.9	3.24	12.7	13.4	-0.68
Dennis Schroder	74	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.47	7	-11	18	13.9	17.1	-3.24	13.3	13.1	0.21
Thabo Sefolosha	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.37	3	-7	10	14.0	16.5	-2.50	13.0	13.6	-0.60
Dwight Howard	77	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.45	5	-9	14	14.2	16.5	-2.21	13.2	13.4	-0.27
Mike Dunleavy	29	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	7	-18	16.4	14.1	2.35	13.3	13.2	0.18
Tim Hardaway Jr.	77	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.49	5	-9	14	14.1	17.0	-2.98	13.5	12.4	1.08
Taurean Prince	60	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	11	-26	15.0	14.5	0.52	12.9	13.7	-0.78

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	43	40	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.05	22	-18	40	13.3	13.2	0.10	16.4	13.7	2.78
Bojan Bogdanovic	30	29	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-9	22	14.5	12.7	1.84	15.7	14.4	1.34
Bradley Beal	79	77	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	-1	6	12.4	15.6	-3.19	14.5	15.8	-1.34
John Wall	76	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	9	-14	13.0	13.7	-0.70	14.1	16.8	-2.79
Markieff Morris	75	73	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.49	-8	12	-20	12.8	14.3	-1.51	13.8	17.4	-3.68
Jason Smith	30	28	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.11	12	-8	20	14.3	12.8	1.51	17.4	13.8	3.68
Kelly Oubre Jr.	41	36	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	-1	6	13.6	13.0	0.56	15.6	14.3	1.35
Brandon Jennings	29	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	-5	14	13.7	13.0	0.70	16.8	14.1	2.79
Otto Porter Jr.	62	62	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.26	-14	18	-32	13.0	13.5	-0.53	13.8	16.3	-2.46
Marcin Gortat	60	59	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.35	-19	23	-42	13.5	12.8	0.77	14.1	15.8	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.59,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.93,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%
VAN 75, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	92.3%
PHX 95, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.34,0.43,0.63,0.73,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.1%