NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	123		Excitement	7.2 [413]		MVP	Seth Curry (BKN): +27.1%
Brooklyn Nets	128		Comeback	15.1 [437]		LVP	Trendon Watford (POR): -9.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Eubanks	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.00	10	82%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Williams	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	19	59%	0.21	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Ben McLemore	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	-0.00	13	61%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.01	18	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Kris Dunn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
CJ Elleby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	48%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Justise Winslow	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	15	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	0%	-0.06
Trendon Watford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.22	0.07	0.02	14	90%	0.31	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.02	0.01	15	84%	0.38	8	-0.20	15	93%	0.06
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	12	59%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	65%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	65%	0.07	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.06	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.6	26.3	15.3	36.7	2.4	37.1	145.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +32.8%

BKN +18.3%

BKN +15.7%

POR -15.7%

POR -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BKN	NBA	POR	BKN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	14.5	123.0	128.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.4		106.9	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.1	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	13.7	16.6	13.0	14.5
BKN	14.7	15.1	12.7	14.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Williams	76	75	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.31	13	-18	31	14.6	14.0	0.67	15.2	11.7	3.53
Drew Eubanks	56	56	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-11	17	14.0	15.1	-1.11	15.0	13.5	1.44
Justise Winslow	58	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-11	17	13.9	15.2	-1.24	15.1	13.2	1.88
Josh Hart	84	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-1	-3	14.3	15.5	-1.23	14.0	15.8	-1.73
Ben McLemore	53	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	1	-7	14.9	14.0	0.93	13.1	15.7	-2.61
Trendon Watford	64	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	6	-17	15.4	12.9	2.51	14.5	14.1	0.42
Kris Dunn	55	55	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	6	-17	13.7	15.4	-1.61	13.8	14.9	-1.10
CJ Elleby	54	54	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.19	-18	13	-31	14.9	14.0	0.83	13.6	15.2	-1.60

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	77	78	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-10	25	14.1	15.0	-0.93	14.8	13.4	1.36
Goran Dragic	79	76	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	3	-1	14.5	13.7	0.84	14.0	16.0	-2.07
Cam Thomas	29	28	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	0	5	15.1	14.0	1.04	14.6	14.4	0.14
James Johnson	22	21	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	0	5	15.6	14.0	1.62	15.0	14.3	0.67
Bruce Brown	69	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	1	3	14.4	14.1	0.34	14.2	15.1	-0.90
Nic Claxton	53	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	3	-1	12.8	16.1	-3.31	14.6	14.3	0.28
Kevin Durant	79	79	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	5	-5	14.0	15.7	-1.69	14.3	15.0	-0.67
Andre Drummond	47	47	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.17	1	4	-3	16.1	12.8	3.31	14.3	14.6	-0.28
Patty Mills	36	38	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	4	-3	13.4	14.9	-1.51	14.9	14.2	0.64
Kessler Edwards	9	10	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	15	-25	15.3	14.2	1.10	16.0	14.3	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 110, PHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.3%
ORL 94, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.1%
NJN 80, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.0%