NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	117		Excitement	9.0 [133]		MVP	Patty Mills (BKN): +37.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Comeback	5.4 [427]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -25.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.16	0.23	0.02	10	85%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.31	0.15	0.16	-0.00	14	72%	0.31	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	7	73%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.1,0.02,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.02	19	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.04
Jevon Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	13	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	58%	0.11	5	-0.19	4	100%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	4	70%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.11	0.00	15	51%	0.17	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.06	0.04	17	56%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	68%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	12	55%	0.16	4	-0.19	5	100%	0.03
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.06,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.21	-0.02	27	41%	-0.14	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	31.0	14.8	27.2	1.8	36.2	138.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +55.0%

CLE -15.5%

CLE -6.6%

BKN +20.6%

CLE -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CLE	NBA	BKN	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	14.1	14.5	114.7	107.7	110.8
season	14.4	15.2		112.8	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		108.5	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.6	13.8	14.0	13.2	13.9
CLE	13.7	11.9	16.0	15.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	73	76	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.35	19	-14	33	13.7	14.3	-0.57	14.5	12.8	1.74
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	75	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-9	23	13.8	14.1	-0.28	13.7	14.9	-1.12
James Johnson	60	63	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	1	3	13.2	14.9	-1.66	14.0	14.1	-0.11
Kevin Durant	82	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.29	5	0	5	13.6	15.0	-1.37	14.1	13.7	0.38
Cam Thomas	29	31	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-6	17	14.9	13.5	1.44	13.4	14.3	-0.96
James Harden	81	82	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.36	-6	11	-17	14.4	12.1	2.22	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Paul Millsap	24	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.09	-1	6	-7	12.1	14.5	-2.38	14.0	14.1	-0.13
DeAndre' Bembry	49	47	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	10	-15	15.0	12.9	2.03	14.9	13.4	1.49
Blake Griffin	18	20	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	13	-21	14.3	13.8	0.52	14.3	14.0	0.36
Jevon Carter	19	19	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	13	-21	13.8	13.9	-0.14	12.5	14.4	-1.94

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	67	63	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-10	15	14.5	13.2	1.26	14.4	13.1	1.34
Isaac Okoro	77	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-2	-1	14.2	13.6	0.68	14.0	13.5	0.58
Darius Garland	84	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.48	10	-15	25	14.0	14.1	-0.11	14.3	12.1	2.24
Dylan Windler	18	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	1	-7	13.0	14.3	-1.28	14.4	13.8	0.57
Dean Wade	73	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-7	9	14.2	13.8	0.31	13.7	14.4	-0.76
Jarrett Allen	79	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-5	5	14.3	13.4	0.81	14.1	13.3	0.85
Ed Davis	19	19	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	6	-17	13.4	14.2	-0.84	13.3	14.0	-0.72
Kevin Love	38	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	5	-15	13.8	14.2	-0.46	13.0	14.5	-1.48
Ricky Rubio	65	62	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.40	-12	7	-19	13.7	14.6	-0.85	13.2	14.9	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.7,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.37,0.64,0.35,0.35,0.53,0.64,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 79, BOS 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.09,0.04,0	90.5%
NOH 87, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.05,0	90.4%
SAC 96, TOR 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.23,0.04,0	89.9%