NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	124		Excitement	8.2 [237]		MVP	John Collins (ATL): +40.7%
Atlanta Hawks	125		Comeback	1.8 [844]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): -10.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davis Bertans	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.12	-0.00	10	71%	0.25	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Ish Smith	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	12	67%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	22	57%	0.16	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Robin Lopez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	15	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	-0.02	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.12,-0.02	0.04	-0.07	-0.01	19	51%	0.08	1	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Hutchison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	4	60%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.41	0.41	0.21	0.20	0.01	14	80%	0.43	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.12
Trae Young	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.17	-0.01	22	63%	0.39	6	-0.14	13	100%	0.09
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.08	0.01	17	69%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	12	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	25.2	15.0	25.2	2.4	32.6	125.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -24.9%

ATL +36.1%

ATL +29.2%

ATL +2.6%

ATL +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	13.2	13.8	14.4	117.0	116.8	111.3
season	13.3	14.7		109.9	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.1		111.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	12.4	16.0	11.3	13.2
ATL	12.8	12.9	14.0	15.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	66	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.35	10	-11	21	13.5	12.7	0.76	15.0	12.0	3.06
Ish Smith	50	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-4	7	13.5	12.9	0.65	13.9	13.8	0.11
Daniel Gafford	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.38	9	-10	19	11.6	14.0	-2.43	13.5	14.0	-0.44
Robin Lopez	42	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.15	1	-2	3	14.3	12.5	1.76	14.8	13.2	1.66
Chandler Hutchison	56	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-7	13	12.8	13.7	-0.91	13.5	14.2	-0.75
Alex Len	29	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	10	-21	13.6	13.0	0.58	12.7	14.3	-1.57
Garrison Mathews	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	10	-21	13.7	13.0	0.66	12.7	14.3	-1.69
Rui Hachimura	62	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	3	-7	12.7	13.8	-1.10	13.7	14.1	-0.46
Russell Westbrook	88	89	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.43	-1	0	-1	13.2	13.3	-0.16	14.0	13.1	0.88
Raul Neto	70	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	6	-13	13.3	13.1	0.17	13.5	14.5	-0.99

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	80	79	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.41	18	-17	35	13.6	14.6	-0.96	13.8	11.4	2.40
Trae Young	82	82	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.32	18	-17	35	13.5	15.1	-1.62	13.4	12.6	0.74
John Collins	75	76	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.33	16	-15	31	13.3	15.0	-1.70	12.9	13.9	-0.93
Clint Capela	75	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-5	11	14.4	12.5	1.87	13.3	13.0	0.28
Bogdan Bogdanovic	81	81	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	-4	9	13.8	14.0	-0.21	12.9	14.3	-1.47
De'Andre Hunter	28	29	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	-1	3	13.6	13.9	-0.37	14.9	12.5	2.39
Onyeka Okongwu	16	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	4	-7	12.9	14.0	-1.06	15.3	12.8	2.49
Danilo Gallinari	48	45	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.15	-17	18	-35	14.1	13.7	0.40	12.8	13.5	-0.69
Lou Williams	25	24	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.15	-17	18	-35	15.1	13.5	1.62	12.6	13.4	-0.74
Solomon Hill	25	23	-0.54	1.04	-1.58	0.14	-23	24	-47	15.1	13.5	1.62	10.1	14.0	-3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.84,0.72,0.59,0.85,0.91,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.95,0.84,0.73,1	92.8%
ATL 94, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.99,1	92.7%
LAC 102, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,1,1	91.8%