NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	8.2 [221]		MVP	Sasha Vujacic (NJN): +11.1%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	1.7 [389]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -27.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.09,0.1	0.02	0.07	0.00	8	50%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.10
Ronnie Brewer	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	8	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	10	44%	-0.01	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.04
Derrick Rose	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.06,-0.15	0.02	-0.15	0.02	13	64%	-0.01	5	-0.14	7	71%	-0.00
Luol Deng	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.27	-0.06	-0.21	-0.00	17	42%	-0.21	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.20

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.10	-0.02	12	54%	0.24	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	15	50%	0.14	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	15	62%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	12	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.09
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	32.0	15.4	27.6	1.8	41.6	146.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +63.3%

NJN +1.3%

NJN +2.6%

CHI -17.9%

NJN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	14.8	17.0	15.5	103.3	106.7	105.7
season	15.7	16.4		106.5	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.9		108.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.1	13.3	17.3	12.5	14.8
NJN	15.9	17.4	14.7	20.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	37	35	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.12	8	-10	18	15.1	14.6	0.47	18.3	16.3	2.00
Kyle Korver	31	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.26	12	-14	26	12.7	15.9	-3.12	20.3	15.3	4.92
CJ Watson	36	35	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.40	15	-17	32	13.5	15.7	-2.20	19.5	15.5	4.01
Ronnie Brewer	56	56	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-13	24	14.6	15.1	-0.55	17.7	15.9	1.90
Taj Gibson	22	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-2	2	15.7	14.5	1.16	16.5	17.2	-0.71
Carlos Boozer	49	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	-10	8	-18	15.3	14.2	1.14	16.4	17.9	-1.52
Keith Bogans	25	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	12	-26	16.4	14.2	2.26	15.7	17.6	-1.83
Luol Deng	83	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	3	-8	15.0	13.1	1.84	16.6	21.2	-4.65
Kurt Thomas	52	53	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	11	-24	14.7	14.9	-0.21	15.7	18.9	-3.16
Derrick Rose	64	63	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.32	-14	12	-26	15.1	14.1	0.98	15.7	20.1	-4.45

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	70	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-5	12	16.8	17.8	-1.05	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Kris Humphries	71	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.55	-1	3	-4	17.2	16.4	0.84	15.1	13.7	1.35
Travis Outlaw	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	-7	16	16.4	17.9	-1.46	14.7	15.0	-0.34
Stephen Graham	74	72	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	1	0	17.1	16.8	0.27	15.4	12.4	3.08
Brook Lopez	65	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	4	-6	17.4	16.0	1.49	15.0	14.4	0.58
Sasha Vujacic	51	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.45	-5	7	-12	17.2	16.8	0.47	14.4	15.4	-1.06
Johan Petro	25	25	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	0	2	16.0	17.4	-1.49	14.9	14.8	0.16
Jordan Farmar	24	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	4	-6	18.0	16.7	1.32	13.8	15.2	-1.34
Derrick Favors	17	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.08	1	1	0	16.9	17.1	-0.11	14.1	15.0	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.95,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.59,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.96,1	92.6%
DET 79, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.5%
GSW 104, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.92,1	92.4%