NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	7.0 [416]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +19.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.6 [917]		LVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): -18.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	18	57%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	5	57%	-0.00	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Jim Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	21	49%	-0.00	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	10	50%	-0.04	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.06
Tony Massenburg	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	45%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.07
Joe Kleine	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	1	75%	0.01	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	8	25%	-0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.09	-0.02	18	60%	0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	10	95%	0.22	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.04
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.00	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Doug West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	17	55%	0.11	7	-0.21	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	24.8	14.8	26.1	2.5	35.3	127.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +79.2%

NJN -9.9%

NJN -25.4%

MIN +1.5%

MIN +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIN	NBA	NJN	MIN	NBA
this game	16.4	17.5	15.6	104.7	110.6	104.4
season	15.4	15.5		101.7	103.3
opponent	15.5	14.9		105.3	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.0	16.5	17.4	16.9	16.4
MIN	17.0	17.0	20.5	15.8	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	40	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-11	17	17.1	15.8	1.32	17.3	17.7	-0.39
Kevin Edwards	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-5	5	18.0	16.1	1.86	18.7	17.3	1.43
Xavier McDaniel	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-5	5	17.8	15.3	2.56	17.7	17.3	0.34
Joe Kleine	30	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-2	-1	16.8	16.2	0.57	20.6	15.9	4.71
Eric Montross	36	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	16.0	16.7	-0.69	16.5	18.3	-1.78
Tony Massenburg	63	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-1	-3	15.8	18.0	-2.16	17.1	18.7	-1.62
Sam Cassell	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	1	-7	16.0	18.2	-2.22	17.1	18.9	-1.82
Jim Jackson	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	0	-5	16.7	13.7	2.93	17.3	19.0	-1.68
Kendall Gill	61	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	4	-13	15.5	18.6	-3.10	17.4	17.6	-0.22

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	74	74	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-3	11	17.3	19.0	-1.74	16.7	14.6	2.03
Dean Garrett	62	62	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-5	15	18.1	15.7	2.39	16.0	17.4	-1.36
Tom Gugliotta	71	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-2	9	17.4	18.1	-0.71	16.8	14.6	2.19
Kevin Garnett	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	-1	7	17.4	18.1	-0.71	15.4	21.7	-6.36
Terry Porter	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	2	1	17.4	17.6	-0.15	16.5	16.2	0.26
Doug West	48	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	5	-5	17.2	17.8	-0.63	16.8	15.9	0.85
Sam Mitchell	34	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	11	-17	17.5	17.5	0.08	16.8	16.2	0.61
James Robinson	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	8	-11	18.1	17.4	0.70	17.7	16.2	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.59,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	93.1%
MIN 100, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.95,1	92.8%
PHX 84, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.59,0.77,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	92.6%