NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	125		Excitement	7.8 [286]		MVP	Kevin Durant (BKN): +37.2%
Denver Nuggets	119		Comeback	14.3 [150]		LVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): -25.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.27,0.37	0.15	0.26	0.04	14	80%	0.53	5	-0.16	13	92%	0.11
Blake Griffin	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.21	0.05	0.02	10	100%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	-0.02	0.01	17	77%	0.34	4	-0.21	6	83%	-0.01
Nicolas Claxton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.05	-0.00	8	83%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Bruce Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Harris	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	6	67%	0.12	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Landry Shamet	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.20	-0.08	0.05	17	82%	0.16	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Facundo Campazzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.05	0.03	9	73%	0.07	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.08	-0.03	12	33%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Markus Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	57%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlatko Cancar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.07,-0.04,0.05,-0.26	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	0.00	21	57%	-0.01	5	-0.24	9	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	33.5	14.7	26.5	2.3	35.4	137.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +104.2%

DEN -3.6%

DEN -22.0%

DEN -27.6%

DEN -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DEN	NBA	BKN	DEN	NBA
this game	12.4	16.6	14.4	125.0	120.2	111.3
season	14.1	15.0		116.6	116.0
opponent	14.4	14.6		112.3	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.3	10.8	14.0	11.9	12.4
DEN	15.0	15.5	19.6	16.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	53	55	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-5	16	12.1	12.8	-0.73	16.1	17.1	-1.03
Joe Harris	70	69	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	3	0	12.3	12.6	-0.29	16.3	17.1	-0.72
Blake Griffin	54	53	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-4	14	14.0	10.5	3.44	16.8	16.3	0.49
Kyrie Irving	80	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	-1	8	13.1	9.6	3.50	16.9	15.4	1.49
Kevin Durant	85	84	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	5	-4	12.7	10.9	1.80	16.2	18.7	-2.48
Nicolas Claxton	29	30	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	2	2	10.4	13.2	-2.75	17.3	16.3	1.01
Mike James	25	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	5	-4	10.2	13.1	-2.88	15.9	16.8	-0.91
DeAndre Jordan	12	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	9	-12	10.4	12.7	-2.25	16.2	16.6	-0.43
Bruce Brown	48	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	12.5	12.3	0.23	16.7	16.5	0.22
Landry Shamet	44	45	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.08	0	6	-6	12.1	12.6	-0.47	17.2	16.0	1.16

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlatko Cancar	34	35	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-10	14	15.9	16.9	-0.95	10.7	13.3	-2.55
Shaquille Harrison	31	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-4	2	16.8	16.5	0.30	11.5	12.8	-1.32
Bol Bol	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-1	-4	16.0	16.8	-0.75	9.9	13.4	-3.53
Markus Howard	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.15	-9	3	-12	17.5	16.2	1.29	9.8	13.5	-3.67
JaVale McGee	25	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	1	-8	17.1	16.4	0.69	9.0	13.5	-4.42
Nikola Jokic	74	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.28	1	-7	8	16.4	17.1	-0.69	13.5	9.0	4.42
Austin Rivers	69	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-5	4	16.6	16.4	0.19	13.5	9.7	3.81
Facundo Campazzo	72	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-5	4	16.1	17.9	-1.82	12.7	11.5	1.21
Michael Porter Jr.	67	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-3	0	17.2	15.3	1.90	13.4	10.5	2.92
JaMychal Green	64	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	1	-8	16.5	16.7	-0.27	13.4	10.5	2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.79,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.85,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.16,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.27,0	91.3%
CLE 106, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.09,0.04,0	91.2%
PHX 103, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.23,0.17,0	91.2%