NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	7.5 [354]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +32.0%
New Jersey Nets	91		Comeback	13.9 [42]		LVP	Devin Brown (SAS): -24.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.32	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.11,0.32	0.05	0.27	-0.01	17	64%	0.39	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.09
Brent Barry	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.08	-0.03	3	92%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Manu Ginobili	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	12	57%	0.16	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Bruce Bowen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.07	0.01	16	40%	-0.11	3	-0.11	8	75%	-0.04
Devin Brown	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	3	33%	-0.12	3	-0.12	6	33%	-0.11

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.21	0.02	-0.01	24	73%	0.28	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.03
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.01	12	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	6	53%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Travis Best	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	15	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	6	31%	-0.15	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	27.6	17.7	30.0	1.4	40.7	142.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +47.5%

NJN -5.9%

SAS +31.5%

NJN -16.0%

NJN -7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NJN	NBA	SAS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.5	107.4	97.8	104.0
season	16.3	16.0		105.8	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.6	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.9	15.3	15.0	15.4	15.9
NJN	14.8	14.7	15.6	14.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	60	60	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.09	22	-12	34	15.4	16.7	-1.28	15.4	14.2	1.22
Brent Barry	61	58	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-4	18	15.1	17.2	-2.03	14.0	16.4	-2.39
Tim Duncan	70	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	3	4	16.7	13.4	3.34	14.8	15.4	-0.66
Beno Udrih	25	24	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	9	-8	15.2	16.1	-0.96	14.7	15.0	-0.31
Tony Parker	69	69	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	1	8	16.1	15.2	0.96	15.0	14.7	0.31
Devin Brown	35	32	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	8	-6	15.9	15.9	-0.01	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Manu Ginobili	69	71	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	7	-4	15.7	16.4	-0.68	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Malik Rose	35	34	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	6	-2	15.1	16.3	-1.19	16.3	14.2	2.14
Rasho Nesterovic	22	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	18	-26	17.7	15.3	2.44	15.1	14.9	0.20
Robert Horry	24	23	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	14	-18	16.2	15.7	0.52	15.6	14.7	0.84

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	72	72	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.08	7	-17	24	15.2	14.0	1.21	16.0	15.4	0.59
Zoran Planinic	8	7	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-10	10	13.9	15.0	-1.16	16.1	15.8	0.30
Elden Campbell	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	15.3	14.9	0.44	15.9	15.9	0.03
Jason Collins	34	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-12	14	15.2	14.8	0.43	18.4	14.3	4.14
Nenad Krstic	58	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-12	14	14.7	15.3	-0.56	16.3	15.2	1.08
Jabari Smith	27	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	-3	-4	16.1	14.4	1.71	13.6	16.8	-3.13
Jacque Vaughn	73	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-3	-4	14.9	15.0	-0.15	16.2	14.5	1.67
Travis Best	8	7	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	15.1	14.9	0.21	15.7	15.9	-0.16
Jason Kidd	85	87	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	0	-10	15.0	13.9	1.16	15.8	16.1	-0.30
Billy Thomas	50	49	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.17	-14	4	-18	14.0	16.0	-1.98	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Ron Mercer	41	43	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.27	-16	6	-22	14.8	15.1	-0.28	14.1	17.4	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 84, LAC 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.14,0.16,0	91.8%
PHX 103, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.23,0.17,0	91.2%
DAL 127, GSW 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.27,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0	91.0%