NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	119		Excitement	5.8 [582]		MVP	Kevin Durant (BKN): +28.0%
Brooklyn Nets	128		Comeback	4.0 [316]		LVP	Jevon Carter (PHX): -9.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.08	0.03	12	71%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Devin Booker	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.08	0.02	24	63%	0.25	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.02
Torrey Craig	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.01	0.06	9	83%	0.10	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.05	6	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.13	0.05	21	66%	0.31	1	-0.03	8	87%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.20	0.04	-0.02	19	72%	0.33	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.04
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.02	9	76%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.02	4	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Joe Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	10	48%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.0	24.4	15.0	26.4	2.8	36.5	136.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +52.6%

BKN +1.2%

BKN +2.8%

PHX -4.4%

PHX -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BKN	NBA	PHX	BKN	NBA
this game	15.7	13.8	14.4	122.7	130.6	111.3
season	14.7	14.1		115.3	116.6
opponent	14.6	14.7		111.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.0	15.0	18.3	12.9	15.7
BKN	12.5	14.4	13.0	15.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Kaminsky	24	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-7	5	16.1	15.6	0.52	13.6	13.9	-0.23
Cameron Payne	29	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-8	7	16.2	15.5	0.63	15.8	13.1	2.71
Jevon Carter	22	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-3	-3	15.9	15.7	0.17	12.5	14.2	-1.69
Devin Booker	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-6	3	15.7	15.9	-0.17	14.2	12.5	1.69
Cameron Johnson	68	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	1	-11	15.9	15.4	0.50	13.2	15.2	-1.93
Mikal Bridges	67	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	15.4	16.6	-1.21	14.8	11.6	3.15
Deandre Ayton	64	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	16.2	14.8	1.48	13.2	15.1	-1.83
Chris Paul	68	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	15.5	16.2	-0.63	13.1	15.8	-2.71
Torrey Craig	66	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-9	9	15.3	16.6	-1.25	14.0	13.3	0.70

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	69	68	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-4	17	14.3	12.7	1.55	15.1	17.2	-2.10
Kevin Durant	56	56	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-2	13	15.0	12.2	2.85	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Tyler Johnson	32	32	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-3	15	12.0	14.7	-2.65	16.9	15.1	1.80
Blake Griffin	58	56	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	8	-7	12.9	15.1	-2.25	15.1	16.5	-1.39
Joe Harris	72	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	3	3	12.9	16.4	-3.55	15.8	15.6	0.23
Kyrie Irving	69	70	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	4	1	15.2	10.4	4.78	14.9	18.0	-3.09
DeAndre Jordan	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	1	7	15.1	12.9	2.25	16.5	15.1	1.39
Landry Shamet	57	56	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	6	-3	14.2	13.2	1.03	16.7	14.4	2.32
Mike James	16	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	13	-17	10.1	14.5	-4.41	17.1	15.5	1.66
Bruce Brown	21	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	19	-29	12.0	14.3	-2.31	17.0	15.3	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
TOR 89, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	93.7%
CHA 114, MIL 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%