NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	89		Excitement	1.5 [750]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +12.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	3.1 [585]		LVP	Keon Clark (TOR): -9.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.00	20	53%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Michael Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	15	43%	-0.02	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Keon Clark	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	17	51%	-0.03	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	14	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	16	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	9	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.07
Mark Pope	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	20	52%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	5	60%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.5	28.4	16.4	23.6	2.4	27.2	124.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +47.6%

TOR -4.6%

MIL +7.6%

MIL +0.4%

TOR -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	17.6	15.7	15.6	103.5	120.7	102.3
season	16.2	15.3		100.3	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.6		105.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.3	18.4	18.3	16.6	17.6
MIL	14.0	14.3	16.9	17.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Bradley	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	18.5	17.6	0.89	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Derrick Dial	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	18.5	17.6	0.89	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Jermaine Jackson	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-17	18	17.8	17.6	0.19	15.0	15.8	-0.82
Jerome Williams	51	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-11	6	18.5	16.4	2.02	15.1	16.5	-1.45
Hakeem Olajuwon	25	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-12	8	17.1	17.9	-0.77	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Dell Curry	23	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-11	6	18.1	17.5	0.63	14.0	16.2	-2.21
Keon Clark	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-3	-10	17.9	16.4	1.52	15.9	14.8	1.07
Chris Childs	23	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-4	-8	15.8	18.3	-2.46	17.5	15.0	2.57
Alvin Williams	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	-1	-14	17.8	17.1	0.64	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Morris Peterson	77	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-4	-8	17.3	20.2	-2.90	16.1	11.9	4.19
Antonio Davis	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.00	-19	3	-22	17.5	18.5	-0.95	15.9	14.2	1.71

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	65	63	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.17	26	-10	36	15.3	16.7	-1.34	17.2	18.9	-1.75
Anthony Mason	72	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.05	22	-6	28	15.4	17.1	-1.76	17.6	17.9	-0.38
Ervin Johnson	48	47	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.16	22	-6	28	15.6	15.7	-0.12	17.9	17.3	0.63
Sam Cassell	52	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	1	14	15.3	16.3	-1.02	17.8	17.4	0.40
Glenn Robinson	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-3	22	15.6	16.1	-0.55	17.9	16.6	1.36
Greg Anthony	35	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	15	-14	16.3	15.3	1.02	17.4	17.8	-0.40
Joel Przybilla	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.19	-6	22	-28	15.7	15.6	0.12	17.3	17.9	-0.63
Mark Pope	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	15.0	15.7	-0.69	18.5	17.6	0.89
Rafer Alston	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	15.0	15.7	-0.69	18.5	17.6	0.89
Tim Thomas	37	37	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.26	-9	25	-34	16.6	15.0	1.55	17.8	17.5	0.32
Darvin Ham	15	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	22	-28	17.1	15.4	1.76	17.9	17.6	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.1%
MIL 94, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.87,0.94,0.86,0.84,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
PHX 77, DAL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	93.4%