NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	4.8 [870]		MVP	Maurice Evans (ATL): +17.6%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	3.7 [577]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (IND): -14.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	11	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	44%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.11	23	57%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	14	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	17	29%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.06	0.03	7	94%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	23	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Gardner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	46%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	14	59%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	9	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	29.3	15.4	24.4	2.5	23.5	123.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +38.8%

ATL +4.7%

ATL +4.9%

IND -6.2%

ATL +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.5	95.6	111.0	106.4
season	14.1	15.8		106.5	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.3		106.0	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.6	15.9	15.5	15.7	15.4
ATL	16.0	16.1	13.8	19.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	10	11	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.08	8	-22	30	16.3	15.3	0.99	18.7	15.9	2.84
Josh McRoberts	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	14.0	15.5	-1.47	16.3	16.2	0.11
Jeff Foster	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-12	10	15.8	15.1	0.70	16.0	16.5	-0.51
Brandon Rush	54	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-12	10	14.7	16.5	-1.76	17.0	15.2	1.84
Rasho Nesterovic	20	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-11	8	15.2	15.5	-0.28	15.7	16.4	-0.68
Jarrett Jack	72	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-6	-2	15.1	16.6	-1.53	16.7	14.2	2.50
Troy Murphy	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-5	-4	16.1	14.3	1.75	15.8	16.9	-1.06
Roy Hibbert	54	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	0	-14	15.2	15.7	-0.53	16.2	16.2	0.03
T.J. Ford	74	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	1	-16	15.1	16.8	-1.73	15.9	17.5	-1.52
Marquis Daniels	70	69	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.01	-24	10	-34	16.0	13.3	2.71	15.7	18.0	-2.39

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	53	53	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.13	19	-5	24	15.4	17.4	-2.00	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Joe Johnson	78	78	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-2	18	15.5	20.8	-5.29	15.8	13.1	2.73
Al Horford	81	79	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	2	10	16.3	15.7	0.60	15.7	13.6	2.11
Josh Smith	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	-1	16	14.8	18.2	-3.31	15.9	14.8	1.08
Ronald Murray	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	7	0	17.9	14.7	3.25	15.6	15.3	0.29
Acie Law	29	28	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	9	-4	19.0	15.0	4.01	15.5	15.4	0.12
Zaza Pachulia	28	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	16	-18	17.1	15.8	1.32	16.0	15.1	0.85
Mike Bibby	61	64	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	10	-6	15.9	16.9	-0.95	14.8	16.9	-2.04
Solomon Jones	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	11	-8	16.2	16.2	-0.06	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Thomas Gardner	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	16.3	16.2	0.11	14.0	15.5	-1.47
Mario West	14	13	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	24	-34	17.1	16.1	0.99	13.4	15.8	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 114, MIL 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIL 94, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
ATL 85, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%