NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	94		Excitement	4.4 [925]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +32.8%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	4.3 [447]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -20.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.04	0.02	10	84%	0.18	0	0.00	11	91%	0.03
Ray Allen	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.01	-0.01	15	71%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Mirsad Turkcan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Manning	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00
Scott Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Rafer Alston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	3	62%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	33%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.18	-0.05	-0.02	12	31%	-0.10	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.21	0.13	0.01	17	84%	0.36	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	9	72%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.03	13	77%	0.14	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	8	100%	0.03
Etdrick Bohannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	92%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	34.2	16.5	24.8	2.4	30.6	137.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +63.6%

MIL -9.1%

MIL -11.2%

NYK +6.8%

MIL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	15.2	105.6	122.5	101.7
season	14.9	16.1		105.5	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.4		98.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.9	14.6	18.7	15.7	16.4
NYK	16.6	16.1	14.7	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	7	6	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-19	23	17.4	16.3	1.11	16.8	15.9	0.94
Scott Williams	40	41	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.08	-1	-14	13	16.3	16.5	-0.24	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Robert Traylor	15	17	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-18	21	16.5	16.4	0.07	16.5	15.8	0.64
Mirsad Turkcan	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.21	7	-22	29	12.5	16.9	-4.40	14.0	16.2	-2.20
Rafer Alston	29	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-13	11	16.6	16.3	0.22	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Ervin Johnson	44	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-6	-3	16.2	16.6	-0.40	16.5	15.4	1.08
Tim Thomas	58	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-8	1	15.8	17.6	-1.85	15.7	16.4	-0.65
Sam Cassell	65	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	2	-19	16.5	16.1	0.38	16.1	15.5	0.66
Darvin Ham	39	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-8	1	17.5	15.6	1.88	15.9	16.0	-0.10
Glenn Robinson	68	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	6	-27	16.5	16.2	0.28	16.2	15.3	0.91
Ray Allen	70	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.13	-25	10	-35	16.8	15.1	1.72	16.0	15.7	0.28

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	69	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.20	28	-13	41	15.8	16.5	-0.77	16.7	15.3	1.42
Chris Childs	63	64	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.24	29	-14	43	15.6	16.9	-1.31	16.4	16.4	-0.05
Latrell Sprewell	66	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-1	17	16.3	15.0	1.29	16.8	15.3	1.48
Larry Johnson	63	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.25	26	-11	37	16.3	15.0	1.35	17.0	14.7	2.36
Kurt Thomas	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	3	9	15.5	16.7	-1.23	16.3	16.5	-0.22
David Wingate	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	22	-29	13.7	16.1	-2.45	11.8	16.7	-4.88
Etdrick Bohannon	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	15.4	16.0	-0.59	11.8	16.7	-4.88
Rick Brunson	19	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	17	-19	16.1	15.9	0.19	15.5	16.7	-1.18
Chris Dudley	16	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.24	-9	24	-33	16.0	15.9	0.05	15.7	16.5	-0.82
Patrick Ewing	47	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.20	5	10	-5	16.5	15.4	1.13	17.0	15.7	1.35
John Wallace	40	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	21	-27	16.3	15.7	0.63	15.4	17.2	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SAC 88, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1	94.3%
TOR 103, CHA 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%