NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	4.7 [710]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (TOR): +14.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	107		Comeback	5.0 [298]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -20.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14	0.16	-0.00	0.02	16	78%	0.24	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Linas Kleiza	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	72%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	6	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Forbes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	12	56%	0.05	5	-0.11	12	67%	-0.02
Andrea Bargnani	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	7	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.03	0.04	14	80%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.04	-0.02	11	58%	0.14	1	-0.00	14	100%	0.06
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	11	74%	0.24	5	-0.13	9	100%	0.06
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	6	58%	0.07	3	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.3	25.5	15.4	28.2	2.6	46.6	150.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +2.4%

CHA +21.4%

CHA +0.9%

CHA +23.8%

CHA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	14.0	15.6	15.6	104.0	111.5	102.8
season	16.5	16.3		98.9	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.9	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.5	14.7	15.8	13.0	14.0
CHA	16.3	17.4	13.5	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	42	39	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.34	14	-18	32	12.1	15.3	-3.17	15.1	15.9	-0.87
Ed Davis	67	64	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-16	28	13.7	14.6	-0.88	16.1	14.7	1.41
Aaron Gray	27	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	1	-6	15.1	13.5	1.57	16.0	15.4	0.61
DeMar DeRozan	76	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-9	14	13.3	16.3	-2.98	15.9	14.6	1.30
Linas Kleiza	55	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-1	-2	14.1	13.8	0.31	15.6	15.5	0.08
Gary Forbes	58	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-8	12	13.5	14.6	-1.13	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Jamaal Magloire	11	11	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	4	-12	13.4	14.0	-0.68	14.2	15.8	-1.59
James Johnson	25	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	7	-18	15.1	13.6	1.54	16.2	15.4	0.77
Andrea Bargnani	54	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	13	-30	15.1	12.6	2.55	15.8	15.3	0.48
Jerryd Bayless	80	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	7	-18	14.6	11.2	3.41	15.4	16.6	-1.25

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	62	65	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.23	22	-18	40	14.6	17.4	-2.77	14.2	13.6	0.54
Gerald Henderson	82	85	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.21	21	-17	38	14.8	20.4	-5.58	14.2	12.4	1.88
D.J. Augustin	73	77	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.21	20	-16	36	14.4	19.4	-5.05	14.0	13.9	0.14
Corey Maggette	73	75	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.30	14	-10	24	14.9	17.7	-2.71	13.6	15.0	-1.41
Bismack Biyombo	65	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-1	6	15.0	16.9	-1.89	13.2	15.6	-2.45
Eduardo Najera	19	21	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	-4	12	14.2	15.9	-1.72	16.0	13.4	2.58
Byron Mullens	12	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.15	-11	15	-26	21.1	14.8	6.27	14.9	13.9	1.06
Derrick Brown	23	24	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	14	-24	17.7	14.9	2.71	15.0	13.6	1.41
Kemba Walker	23	22	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.17	-16	20	-36	19.4	14.4	5.05	13.9	14.0	-0.14
Reggie Williams	14	14	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.18	-17	21	-38	20.4	14.8	5.58	12.4	14.2	-1.88
DJ White	34	34	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.10	-16	20	-36	17.4	14.6	2.77	13.6	14.2	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIL 94, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
NYK 89, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.6%