NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	88		Excitement	5.8 [693]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (OKC): +15.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	95		Comeback	5.3 [735]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -11.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Georgios Papagiannis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	13	47%	0.06	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
George Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Justin Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.01	0.04	13	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	15	47%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Skal Labissiere	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	28%	-0.09	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.07

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.08	-0.05	19	50%	0.16	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	17	46%	0.01	3	-0.05	5	60%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	11	38%	-0.02	2	-0.05	12	25%	-0.15
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	14	54%	0.06	10	-0.17	7	43%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	28.5	14.0	27.1	2.5	35.4	135.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +29.4%

SAC -2.5%

OKC +24.0%

OKC +0.2%

SAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	OKC	NBA	SAC	OKC	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	14.7	88.0	96.9	107.5
season	15.4	14.2		102.9	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.7		106.1	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.1	15.1	16.7	13.0	15.2
OKC	13.8	13.1	13.3	15.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Aaron Fox	59	57	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-11	15	13.5	17.7	-4.19	14.1	13.6	0.48
Georgios Papagiannis	5	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-3	-1	8.2	15.6	-7.38	10.0	14.0	-4.03
Justin Jackson	49	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-11	15	14.8	15.6	-0.73	15.3	12.4	2.92
Willie Cauley-Stein	82	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-11	15	14.9	16.7	-1.84	14.2	12.2	2.01
Skal Labissiere	55	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	1	-9	16.8	13.3	3.49	13.8	14.0	-0.24
Buddy Hield	56	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-9	11	15.5	14.8	0.74	14.5	13.0	1.56
Garrett Temple	40	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	5	-17	14.3	15.8	-1.52	12.9	14.4	-1.50
George Hill	47	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-2	-3	17.3	13.3	4.02	13.6	14.1	-0.52
Kosta Koufos	41	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	3	-13	16.4	14.4	1.96	13.7	14.0	-0.24
Bogdan Bogdanovic	68	65	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	1	-9	14.4	16.9	-2.54	12.7	16.1	-3.35

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	68	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-3	13	13.0	15.7	-2.69	14.6	16.6	-1.94
Carmelo Anthony	67	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	0	7	13.5	14.7	-1.18	14.6	16.6	-1.99
Russell Westbrook	69	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-6	19	12.6	16.9	-4.25	15.2	15.1	0.10
Josh Huestis	34	33	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	3	1	15.1	13.2	1.82	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Jerami Grant	38	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	0	7	14.7	13.4	1.29	16.8	14.2	2.63
Alex Abrines	39	40	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	1	5	14.3	13.6	0.73	14.5	15.7	-1.18
Paul George	75	78	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	11	-15	13.3	15.7	-2.39	14.8	16.7	-1.89
Terrance Ferguson	37	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	3	1	13.4	14.2	-0.79	15.9	14.8	1.15
Patrick Patterson	30	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	10	-13	15.7	13.0	2.69	16.6	14.6	1.94
Raymond Felton	33	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	16	-25	16.4	12.6	3.86	15.7	15.0	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 76, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
OKC 88, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.77,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	93.9%