NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	88		Excitement	6.0 [630]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +29.8%
Golden State Warriors	96		Comeback	4.2 [507]		LVP	Andre Roberson (OKC): -11.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	11	59%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.02	19	64%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	21	41%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.21	0.13	0.04	24	71%	0.38	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.06	-0.03	19	52%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	56%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	14	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.8	35.3	15.7	26.6	3.5	34.2	140.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +58.6%

OKC -5.8%

GSW +2.0%

OKC -4.0%

OKC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	GSW	NBA	OKC	GSW	NBA
this game	16.8	16.3	14.9	101.1	110.3	105.1
season	14.4	13.7		111.5	112.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		102.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	17.7	14.7	19.7	15.4	16.8
GSW	15.0	16.0	15.5	18.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-6	4	1.0	17.0	-15.97	4.0	16.5	-12.47
Steven Adams	46	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-8	8	18.1	15.3	2.82	16.1	16.5	-0.39
Enes Kanter	17	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-7	6	16.6	16.8	-0.17	15.0	16.7	-1.67
Dion Waiters	59	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.38	7	-15	22	15.5	19.5	-4.01	16.3	16.4	-0.18
Kevin Durant	82	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-4	0	16.7	18.8	-2.14	16.5	13.0	3.52
Serge Ibaka	79	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	16.8	16.5	0.31	16.2	17.6	-1.38
Russell Westbrook	82	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.22	-14	6	-20	17.0	14.0	2.95	16.4	15.0	1.42
Andre Roberson	69	70	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.12	-19	11	-30	17.2	15.3	1.90	16.8	14.3	2.52

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	73	73	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.17	18	-10	28	16.2	17.2	-1.06	16.9	15.9	1.02
Harrison Barnes	43	43	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-1	10	15.5	17.1	-1.65	14.9	18.7	-3.80
Andre Iguodala	76	78	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	7	-6	16.9	12.2	4.74	16.8	16.7	0.13
Festus Ezeli	26	24	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-1	10	15.2	16.8	-1.61	17.2	16.6	0.59
Leandro Barbosa	5	4	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	3	2	11.4	16.6	-5.22	18.2	16.7	1.54
Anderson Varejao	3	4	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	3	2	12.3	16.5	-4.13	18.7	16.7	2.06
Draymond Green	72	73	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	5	-2	16.7	14.6	2.08	16.7	17.4	-0.69
Klay Thompson	75	76	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	10	-12	16.8	13.6	3.18	16.7	17.4	-0.67
Shaun Livingston	28	26	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	8	-8	15.1	16.9	-1.74	16.8	16.8	0.04
Andrew Bogut	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	10	-12	17.7	15.8	1.97	19.5	15.7	3.81
Marreese Speights	10	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	14	-20	17.2	16.2	0.99	16.1	16.9	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.77,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1	93.9%
NJN 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	93.4%
MIL 94, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%