inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 113 Excitement7.9 [251] MVPZion Williamson (NOP): +56.6%
New Orleans Pelicans 108 Comeback16.1 [97] LVPBrandon Ingram (NOP): -25.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.410,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.42,0.410.170.270.033062%0.471-0.0700%0.00
Paul Millsap0.240,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.240.070.180.001259%0.271-0.02367%-0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.150.050.021771%0.252-0.0810%-0.02
Jamal Murray0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.040.09-0.040.011862%0.102-0.061100%0.01
Zeke Nnaji0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Facundo Campazzo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Will Barton-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01362%0.002-0.032100%0.00
PJ Dozier-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.030.00617%-0.0800.0000%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zion Williamson0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.570.570.280.300.021987%0.643-0.08786%0.04
Josh Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.03-0.02671%0.101-0.002100%0.01
Eric Bledsoe0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.020.001159%0.101-0.02580%0.01
Kira Lewis Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.00550%0.0300.002100%0.02
Jaxson Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.020.000100%0.051-0.022100%0.02
Steven Adams0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.01750%0.041-0.042100%0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.2-0.20-0.01-0.190.011354%-0.093-0.1100%0.00
Brandon Ingram0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.26-0.26-0.07-0.170.021738%-0.192-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.525.315.323.72.433.6126.1
league avg25.62.328.014.827.92.332.6134.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +55.2%
NOP -23.7%
NOP -6.0%
DEN +22.2%
DEN +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNOPNBADENNOPNBA
this game16.914.814.4124.2118.7111.1
season14.914.0116.0112.6
opponent14.414.4112.4110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN18.219.715.215.016.9
NOP13.717.215.413.214.8

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.76,0.72,0.85,0.63,0.55,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 94, PHI 890.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.37,0.24,0.16,089.5%
SAS 107, SAC 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.54,0.14,0.04,089.0%
DET 114, TOR 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.27,088.7%