inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 114 Excitement9.6 [93] MVPJonas Valanciunas (TOR): +34.6%
Toronto Raptors 111 Comeback5.1 [94] LVPKyle Lowry (TOR): -41.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.26,0.260.080.180.01583%0.2600.002100%0.02
Brandon Jennings0.240,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.240.150.09-0.002264%0.272-0.03989%0.06
Jodie Meeks0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22-0.000.21-0.011443%0.2200.002100%0.03
Greg Monroe0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.050.021656%0.1000.00757%-0.03
Kyle Singler0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.03-0.01757%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.00753%0.011-0.023100%0.04
Caron Butler-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.01737%-0.033-0.082100%0.01
Andre Drummond-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.06-0.080.001233%-0.1500.00667%-0.03

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.350.350.240.130.021591%0.392-0.04475%-0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.180.180.130.050.00989%0.231-0.0500%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.040.00392%0.141-0.02683%-0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.03-0.001100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.011155%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.001443%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.031450%0.104-0.1420%-0.04
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.01714%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.08,-0.25,-0.32,-0.41-0.41-0.17-0.26-0.021238%-0.177-0.242100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.72.327.616.325.51.731.1126.3
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR -16.4%
DET +20.2%
DET +3.2%
DET +39.5%
DET +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETTORNBADETTORNBA
this game14.314.215.1112.9109.9104.2
season15.715.6104.0109.1
opponent15.015.3106.8105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.915.114.314.014.3
TOR11.316.915.014.314.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Monroe69670.83-0.331.150.5310-71714.314.3-0.0115.112.62.44
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope68690.82-0.321.140.3815-122714.014.8-0.8015.112.32.82
Brandon Jennings70680.77-0.271.030.509-61514.214.5-0.3015.212.32.83
Jodie Meeks50480.210.29-0.080.47-912-2114.514.10.3613.215.2-1.96
Jonas Jerebko57530.170.33-0.150.44-912-2114.414.20.1713.614.9-1.33
Andre Drummond56600.100.40-0.29-0.138-51314.114.4-0.3015.013.11.92
Kyle Singler64630.080.42-0.34-0.0130314.414.10.2215.112.82.36
Anthony Tolliver57-0.030.53-0.57-0.00-14-520.613.96.6512.914.3-1.48
Joel Anthony1515-0.070.57-0.65-0.01-25-712.414.6-2.2010.314.9-4.59
Caron Butler2022-0.110.61-0.71-0.02-36-914.414.20.2211.115.1-3.96
D.J. Augustin3133-0.270.77-1.03-0.09-69-1514.514.20.3012.315.2-2.83

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Patterson47490.40-0.901.29-0.0415-183314.114.3-0.1715.113.51.60
Tyler Hansbrough19180.17-0.670.830.083-6913.514.4-0.8817.813.54.33
Charles Hayes330.07-0.570.64-0.023-6914.714.20.4411.014.4-3.38
Terrence Ross53530.00-0.500.50-0.031-4513.215.3-2.0913.015.7-2.69
Lou Williams4647-0.01-0.490.47-0.196-91514.514.00.4415.413.32.03
Greivis Vasquez4950-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.24-1-2115.413.22.2315.013.61.43
James Johnson7471-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.32-63-914.413.90.4815.012.72.29
Jonas Valanciunas7574-0.630.13-0.77-0.22-1411-2514.912.22.7014.114.9-0.83
Kyle Lowry7273-0.710.21-0.92-0.47-85-1314.114.7-0.6313.316.7-3.37
Amir Johnson6767-1.010.51-1.52-0.60-1411-2513.515.6-2.0813.116.6-3.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 110, CLE 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.45,0.57,0.58,090.3%
NJN 78, GSW 740.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,090.0%
MIN 96, POR 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.16,090.0%