NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	8.5 [170]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +42.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Comeback	9.2 [177]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -10.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.26	0.16	0.00	13	87%	0.42	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.26	0.01	0.26	0.01	4	50%	0.26	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.09	0.02	11	113%	0.49	7	-0.26	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,0.02,0.22	0.04	0.20	0.02	12	65%	0.40	4	-0.18	10	80%	0.16
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	14	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.10	0.02	9	61%	0.04	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.17	0.15	0.01	13	68%	0.31	0	0.00	11	91%	0.05
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	30	51%	0.12	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	15	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	8	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.4	32.4	15.5	27.5	2.7	30.0	139.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +86.5%

PHX +26.1%

CLE -28.5%

CLE -33.1%

CLE -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	13.3	18.2	15.4	119.6	118.7	105.7
season	13.8	16.4		111.1	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.6		104.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.1	13.5	12.7	15.3	13.3
CLE	17.2	16.0	18.9	21.5	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	83	83	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.48	10	-8	18	13.0	15.8	-2.77	17.7	23.4	-5.65
Steve Nash	72	72	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.57	5	-3	8	12.9	14.7	-1.81	17.3	21.6	-4.31
Amar'e Stoudemire	81	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.54	2	0	2	12.8	16.8	-4.02	17.7	21.3	-3.59
Boris Diaw	75	73	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.50	1	1	0	13.5	12.5	1.00	19.0	15.2	3.74
Shawn Marion	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	-3	8	13.1	13.7	-0.60	17.7	19.7	-1.97
DJ Strawberry	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.11	5	-3	8	13.2	13.3	-0.09	21.6	17.8	3.80
Grant Hill	9	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	8	-14	10.2	13.6	-3.39	18.2	18.2	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	51	50	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.03	-6	8	-14	14.7	11.5	3.19	19.9	16.2	3.73
Brian Skinner	12	12	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.05	-6	8	-14	16.8	12.7	4.08	18.7	18.1	0.61

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	39	38	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.13	3	-5	8	18.8	17.7	1.10	14.7	12.3	2.43
Anderson Varejao	52	52	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-9	16	20.0	15.8	4.24	15.0	11.0	3.99
Ira Newble	27	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-3	4	16.3	19.0	-2.79	10.7	14.5	-3.84
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-7	12	17.1	20.4	-3.29	12.7	14.4	-1.71
Drew Gooden	44	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	9	-20	15.8	20.4	-4.61	11.5	14.9	-3.42
Damon Jones	36	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-3	4	20.1	17.0	3.04	13.6	13.1	0.52
Daniel Gibson	54	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-1	0	20.0	15.7	4.29	14.7	11.3	3.35
Larry Hughes	67	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.56	-3	1	-4	17.4	20.4	-2.98	13.0	14.2	-1.25
LeBron James	76	76	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.42	-12	10	-22	18.2	18.3	-0.14	13.0	14.5	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.45,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 104, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.84,0	92.0%
DET 114, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.27,0	90.3%
PHI 98, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.56,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.28,0	89.4%