NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	78		Excitement	7.1 [383]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +17.1%
Golden State Warriors	74		Comeback	3.5 [144]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -32.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.14	0.01	14	64%	0.22	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.04
Brian Scalabrine	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	40%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	16	49%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.08	-0.01	11	36%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	6	33%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	11	35%	-0.09	4	-0.24	4	75%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.04,0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	18	56%	0.19	5	-0.24	3	67%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	38%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.12	-0.01	15	59%	-0.03	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	12	33%	-0.14	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.5	26.3	16.6	29.9	3.7	38.3	145.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +31.8%

NJN +2.1%

NJN +11.4%

NJN +6.2%

GSW -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	GSW	NBA	NJN	GSW	NBA
this game	17.0	17.1	15.7	92.9	87.1	100.5
season	15.3	16.1		98.1	100.8
opponent	15.3	16.2		101.6	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.2	16.8	15.8	17.4	17.0
GSW	15.4	18.4	17.0	17.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	53	54	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.46	8	-4	12	16.6	17.6	-1.00	15.7	19.4	-3.65
Kenyon Martin	59	60	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.42	8	-4	12	16.8	17.5	-0.72	17.0	17.3	-0.35
Lucious Harris	70	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-4	12	16.5	19.4	-2.90	16.4	20.9	-4.48
Kerry Kittles	64	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-2	8	16.8	17.5	-0.71	16.3	19.6	-3.31
Richard Jefferson	70	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	0	4	16.4	20.3	-3.93	16.5	20.7	-4.19
Brian Scalabrine	22	21	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	2	0	18.6	16.4	2.20	19.0	16.4	2.63
Brandon Armstrong	21	21	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	5	-6	16.7	17.1	-0.40	18.8	16.5	2.31
Zoran Planinic	14	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	8	-12	19.4	16.5	2.90	20.9	16.4	4.48
Rodney Rogers	17	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	10	-16	18.4	16.7	1.68	17.6	17.0	0.61
Aaron Williams	30	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	9	-14	18.2	16.3	1.90	19.9	15.5	4.42

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	26	27	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-10	16	17.6	16.8	0.78	16.7	17.1	-0.40
Avery Johnson	18	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-4	4	20.1	16.3	3.86	17.2	17.0	0.26
Mickael Pietrus	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-4	4	15.4	17.8	-2.38	17.7	16.7	1.02
Adonal Foyle	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-4	4	19.3	16.2	3.06	16.8	17.1	-0.26
Erick Dampier	61	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	16.5	18.6	-2.17	17.9	14.9	3.03
Jason Richardson	74	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-2	0	17.2	16.5	0.71	16.7	19.1	-2.37
Calbert Cheaney	58	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	1	-6	17.8	15.4	2.38	16.7	17.7	-1.02
Mike Dunleavy	71	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.40	-6	2	-8	16.2	21.7	-5.56	17.0	17.0	0.01
Clifford Robinson	67	66	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.41	-10	6	-16	16.7	18.4	-1.74	16.6	18.4	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 106, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.34,0.17,0	92.5%
MIN 103, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.72,0.45,0.15,0	92.1%
MIA 97, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.27,0	91.9%