NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	107		Excitement	7.4 [387]		MVP	Davis Bertans (SAS): +58.0%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	6.2 [351]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (SAS): -10.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davis Bertans	0.58	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.58,0.58,0.58	0.28	0.31	0.01	15	90%	0.58	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.35,0.35	0.18	0.19	0.02	20	67%	0.38	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Bryn Forbes	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	13	46%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Costello	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Paul	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Patty Mills	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.03	-0.09	0.02	13	54%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	35%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	13	62%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.00	10	73%	0.16	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	12	69%	0.13	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.03
Malachi Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	9	61%	0.07	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	26.2	14.7	24.8	0.6	32.2	123.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +23.1%

SAS +2.3%

SAC -1.5%

SAS +26.1%

SAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	14.7	110.3	103.1	107.5
season	15.5	15.4		106.7	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.0	14.9	15.6	14.8	15.3
SAC	15.3	13.9	12.7	15.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	56	55	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.34	15	-8	23	14.5	16.4	-1.93	14.3	14.5	-0.11
Kyle Anderson	56	56	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-1	9	16.6	13.6	3.01	14.3	14.5	-0.25
Bryn Forbes	58	59	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-1	9	15.7	14.7	1.01	14.8	13.7	1.08
Davis Bertans	63	64	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.25	12	-5	17	13.8	18.0	-4.20	15.2	12.8	2.38
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	9	-11	15.2	15.6	-0.43	14.7	13.5	1.24
Pau Gasol	51	49	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	2	3	16.3	14.2	2.14	12.9	15.9	-2.94
Matt Costello	7	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	8	-9	22.3	14.8	7.53	14.0	14.4	-0.43
Derrick White	14	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.03	-1	8	-9	15.5	15.3	0.23	12.8	14.6	-1.78
Brandon Paul	23	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.08	-2	9	-11	12.6	16.1	-3.58	15.6	14.0	1.64
Dejounte Murray	38	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	9	-11	13.7	16.3	-2.65	14.4	14.4	0.07
Tony Parker	46	47	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.03	-5	12	-17	16.9	13.9	2.99	13.8	14.9	-1.13

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	35	34	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.23	4	-11	15	16.0	13.5	2.47	17.8	13.9	3.89
Buddy Hield	54	56	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.04	9	-16	25	15.0	13.6	1.41	15.7	14.7	0.98
Skal Labissiere	40	39	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.15	-1	-6	5	16.2	13.1	3.03	17.0	14.2	2.84
Malachi Richardson	24	24	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-11	15	13.4	14.7	-1.30	16.8	14.8	2.04
Vince Carter	22	20	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-8	9	13.8	14.6	-0.80	16.8	14.9	1.95
Bogdan Bogdanovic	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	0	-7	14.8	13.4	1.44	14.9	16.1	-1.16
Zach Randolph	54	55	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.49	-6	-1	-5	13.2	15.9	-2.76	14.0	17.0	-3.00
Garrett Temple	60	58	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.24	-15	8	-23	14.8	13.8	0.98	15.7	14.8	0.89
Willie Cauley-Stein	65	66	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.48	-11	4	-15	13.5	16.3	-2.82	14.1	17.9	-3.83
De'Aaron Fox	64	66	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.49	-13	6	-19	13.6	15.9	-2.25	14.0	18.1	-4.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.54,0.14,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.37,0.24,0.16,0	91.5%
MEM 98, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.76,0.55,0.15,0.04,0	91.4%
CHI 99, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.22,0.15,0	90.4%