NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	94		Excitement	8.1 [230]		MVP	Stacey Augmon (NOH): +18.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	6.1 [123]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (PHI): -26.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19	0.04	0.15	-0.00	5	67%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Jamal Mashburn	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.01	22	56%	0.23	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.03
Baron Davis	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05	-0.09	0.14	-0.00	14	50%	0.21	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.03
Robert Traylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	4	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Jamaal Magloire	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	8	78%	0.10	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	11	45%	-0.02	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	6	50%	-0.06	1	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	7	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	4	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	59%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	63%	0.14	5	-0.19	1	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.05	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	7	31%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	23	50%	-0.11	3	-0.07	14	93%	0.10
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.11	-0.01	10	32%	-0.18	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	32.3	15.6	25.9	2.0	37.2	140.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +70.7%

PHI -20.8%

NOH +12.1%

PHI -11.2%

PHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHI	NBA	NOH	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.0	15.5	102.2	94.7	101.6
season	15.9	15.3		101.6	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.4	16.5	15.5	13.6	15.9
PHI	13.7	13.5	18.8	14.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	27	27	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.44	10	-5	15	16.6	15.7	0.88	13.6	15.6	-1.98
P.J. Brown	69	71	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-6	17	15.4	17.6	-2.17	15.8	12.7	3.11
Baron Davis	71	72	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-3	11	16.1	15.3	0.84	16.0	12.0	3.91
Jamal Mashburn	74	75	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	0	5	15.8	16.6	-0.77	15.1	14.8	0.25
George Lynch	60	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	5	-5	15.1	17.4	-2.30	13.3	18.3	-4.98
Robert Traylor	20	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	7	-9	19.8	14.9	4.94	12.5	15.7	-3.23
Jamaal Magloire	60	62	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.12	0	5	-5	15.8	16.2	-0.48	16.1	12.9	3.19
Kenny Anderson	21	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	7	-9	16.0	15.9	0.08	13.3	15.6	-2.31
David Wesley	58	60	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.10	-5	10	-15	15.9	16.0	-0.10	15.8	13.8	2.00

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	47	47	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.11	4	-9	13	13.9	16.2	-2.30	17.0	14.8	2.22
John Salmons	7	5	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-10	15	8.1	15.6	-7.45	12.8	16.1	-3.31
Efthimios Rentzias	9	9	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-5	5	12.0	15.4	-3.36	16.8	15.8	0.93
Aaron McKie	46	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-5	5	13.8	16.2	-2.38	16.6	15.3	1.39
Greg Buckner	48	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-6	7	15.6	14.4	1.19	15.1	16.8	-1.65
Monty Williams	38	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-3	1	14.1	15.7	-1.62	17.6	14.8	2.80
Allen Iverson	89	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.41	-2	-3	1	15.2	12.6	2.58	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Tyrone Hill	50	49	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	2	-9	16.9	12.9	3.97	14.8	17.3	-2.52
Kenny Thomas	79	77	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.47	-8	3	-11	15.3	13.9	1.32	16.3	14.0	2.31
Eric Snow	57	58	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.35	-16	11	-27	16.3	13.1	3.23	14.7	18.0	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.37,0.24,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 109, SAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.83,0.62,0.45,0.16,0.42,0	91.6%
SAS 107, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.54,0.14,0.04,0	91.5%
IND 86, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.41,0.55,0.68,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	91.4%