inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 109 Excitement8.9 [159] MVPMalcolm Brogdon (MIL): +43.6%
San Antonio Spurs 107 Comeback4.8 [68] LVPPau Gasol (SAS): -19.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon0.440,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.43,0.440.090.350.001163%0.461-0.02580%0.00
Michael Beasley0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.190.080.120.011867%0.314-0.12683%0.04
Jabari Parker0.090,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.090.13-0.000.041665%0.0900.002100%0.01
Thon Maker0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002125%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jason Terry0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.00275%0.0500.0000%0.00
Tony Snell0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.020.05-0.030.00667%0.0200.0000%0.00
Miles Plumlee0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
John Henson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mirza Teletovic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.011354%0.063-0.1100%0.00
Matthew Dellavedova-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00540%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.210.020.001671%0.271-0.051080%0.01
Danny Green0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,0.22,0.220.220.050.180.011258%0.261-0.0400%0.00
Jonathon Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.110.040.00878%0.1500.002100%0.01
David Lee0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.04-0.020.01683%0.082-0.0800%0.00
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,-0.02-0.020.05-0.07-0.00779%0.062-0.0800%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.001547%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00636%-0.0300.00250%-0.04
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.00625%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.03-0.0030%-0.043-0.1000%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2-0.20-0.08-0.13-0.01933%-0.132-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.824.914.823.42.537.2128.7
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +36.8%
MIL +8.2%
SAS -12.5%
MIL +16.4%
MIL +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILSASNBAMILSASNBA
this game14.416.914.8118.5116.3107.7
season14.915.4107.4110.1
opponent14.815.3103.7107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.014.614.616.714.4
SAS17.516.016.717.616.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malcolm Brogdon48490.75-0.250.990.576-41013.914.8-0.9217.416.50.90
Michael Beasley66650.74-0.240.980.2118-163413.815.9-2.1317.515.61.97
Jabari Parker65660.73-0.230.970.479-71613.715.9-2.2217.515.71.80
Tony Snell60600.72-0.220.940.498-61413.615.7-2.0417.515.81.74
Greg Monroe54530.55-0.050.590.4920214.713.80.9216.717.3-0.58
Miles Plumlee560.140.36-0.22-0.067-5128.014.7-6.7217.816.90.95
Matthew Dellavedova4444-0.120.62-0.74-0.03-35-814.813.90.9216.217.6-1.38
Thon Maker2323-0.130.63-0.76-0.10-13-415.713.91.7217.916.61.23
Mirza Teletovic1010-0.170.67-0.850.06-810-1815.414.21.1713.017.4-4.43
John Henson3333-0.190.69-0.880.02-79-1614.714.20.5317.216.80.37
Jason Terry3433-0.220.72-0.95-0.05-68-1415.613.62.0015.917.5-1.62
Giannis Antetokounmpo1818-0.290.79-1.090.15-1517-3216.713.82.8714.517.5-3.04

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Davis Bertans35360.07-0.570.64-0.178-101815.517.8-2.2615.913.32.61
Pau Gasol54530.01-0.510.51-0.021-3417.815.81.9714.114.7-0.53
David Lee5150-0.11-0.390.280.01-42-617.815.91.9313.016.0-2.98
Patty Mills3032-0.18-0.320.13-0.273-5816.217.3-1.0614.614.20.41
Tony Parker6260-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.17-53-817.316.21.0614.214.6-0.41
Jonathon Simmons4143-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.29-1-1016.617.3-0.6915.913.02.82
Manu Ginobili2728-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-119-2017.316.80.5013.414.8-1.44
Kawhi Leonard7170-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.525-71217.116.40.6714.015.5-1.50
Dewayne Dedmon3939-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.26-42-615.518.0-2.4414.714.10.53
Danny Green5049-0.560.06-0.63-0.50-20-217.216.70.5114.314.4-0.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.83,0.62,0.45,0.16,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 94, PHI 890.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.37,0.24,0.16,091.6%
LAC 96, PHX 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.46,0.17,0.28,091.4%
ORL 103, NJN 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.7,0.51,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.37,0.1,0.27,091.3%