NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	9.1 [126]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +31.6%
New Jersey Nets	102		Comeback	11.8 [53]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -53.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.16	0.00	6	79%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Steve Francis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1	-0.02	0.12	-0.00	17	67%	0.28	7	-0.18	15	93%	0.13
Andre Barrett	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	8	68%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Kasun	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	12	42%	-0.09	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Tony Battie	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.32	0.32	0.04	0.26	-0.02	16	57%	0.35	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.04	-0.04	17	70%	0.23	2	-0.11	6	67%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	3	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jabari Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	5	25%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	11	43%	-0.18	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.53	-0.53	-0.11	-0.40	0.02	21	43%	-0.42	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	1.8	34.0	15.4	26.7	2.3	42.4	152.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +37.0%

ORL +18.8%

NJN -20.8%

NJN -3.0%

ORL +18.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	15.5	106.2	105.2	104.0
season	14.3	16.0		102.9	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.4	12.2	15.5	14.6	14.1
NJN	13.3	15.0	17.3	17.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Barrett	49	48	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-13	27	12.7	15.4	-2.70	15.8	15.4	0.34
Steve Francis	86	87	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	1	-1	13.9	15.2	-1.25	15.1	19.7	-4.55
Stacey Augmon	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.50	-5	6	-11	15.1	12.2	2.92	16.0	14.9	1.13
Tony Battie	57	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	3	-5	14.3	13.7	0.63	16.1	14.9	1.15
Dwight Howard	70	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.45	-6	7	-13	14.9	11.9	3.03	15.3	16.5	-1.20
Pat Garrity	42	39	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.13	2	-1	3	13.9	14.2	-0.34	16.2	15.2	0.94
Mario Kasun	12	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	-2	5	11.7	14.4	-2.65	13.1	15.9	-2.85
DeShawn Stevenson	75	78	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	6	-11	14.1	14.0	0.03	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Kelvin Cato	11	11	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	11	-21	17.8	13.6	4.23	15.1	15.7	-0.60

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	58	57	0.38	-0.88	1.27	0.09	10	-11	21	15.8	15.3	0.48	14.7	13.2	1.53
Zoran Planinic	12	11	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-6	11	15.3	15.7	-0.33	15.9	13.8	2.07
Jacque Vaughn	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	0	-1	18.5	15.5	3.01	14.7	14.0	0.71
Travis Best	69	69	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-2	3	15.1	17.0	-1.89	14.2	13.8	0.35
Brian Scalabrine	35	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	1	-3	15.1	15.9	-0.74	13.0	14.6	-1.67
Rodney Buford	31	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-2	3	16.5	15.2	1.32	13.2	14.5	-1.34
Jabari Smith	6	5	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	8	-17	12.2	15.8	-3.68	4.0	14.6	-10.62
Nenad Krstic	74	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-3	5	15.8	15.0	0.75	14.8	11.4	3.30
Jason Kidd	90	90	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	2	-5	15.7	15.0	0.67	13.9	15.7	-1.77
Vince Carter	72	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.56	-2	1	-3	14.9	17.6	-2.62	14.3	13.3	1.07
Clifford Robinson	34	36	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.51	-7	6	-13	17.4	14.7	2.67	13.7	14.3	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.7,0.51,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.37,0.1,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 109, SAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.83,0.62,0.45,0.16,0.42,0	91.3%
MIA 98, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.73,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.15,0	91.2%
SEA 102, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.87,0.76,0.86,0.69,0.63,0.23,0.15,0	90.9%