NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	8.9 [120]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (PHX): +11.6%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	7.4 [66]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -41.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	15	53%	0.18	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	7	94%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,0,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.09	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	15	55%	-0.04	2	-0.06	8	37%	-0.10
Earl Boykins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Jeff McInnis	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	11	57%	-0.01	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	8	36%	-0.15	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.13	-0.01	14	45%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	80%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.00	17	60%	0.09	4	-0.18	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	21	43%	-0.15	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.31,-0.31,-0.41	-0.41	-0.17	-0.25	-0.00	14	32%	-0.24	4	-0.18	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	29.3	19.5	26.4	2.6	33.2	137.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +32.4%

PHX -20.9%

LAC +54.3%

PHX -18.6%

LAC +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	14.9	15.6	103.2	100.0	102.3
season	15.9	15.1		103.6	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.4		102.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	16.4	15.5	17.5	16.2
PHX	15.1	15.6	13.3	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	82	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-3	10	16.3	15.5	0.72	15.0	14.4	0.66
Lamar Odom	70	71	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.56	-1	5	-6	15.7	17.6	-1.84	14.9	15.1	-0.26
Michael Olowokandi	38	36	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	-2	8	16.6	15.9	0.76	15.5	14.6	0.91
Quentin Richardson	54	53	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.43	-2	6	-8	16.4	15.9	0.54	14.6	15.4	-0.85
Elton Brand	83	82	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	-2	8	16.0	17.4	-1.36	14.7	16.7	-1.97
Darius Miles	50	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	8	-12	16.3	16.0	0.34	14.5	15.5	-1.02
Corey Maggette	47	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.11	7	-3	10	16.0	16.3	-0.28	15.7	14.2	1.46
Earl Boykins	25	23	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	-1	6	15.8	16.3	-0.52	13.8	15.3	-1.55
Sean Rooks	18	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	7	-10	15.5	16.3	-0.85	15.6	14.8	0.80

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	41	41	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.09	3	-7	10	14.3	15.5	-1.13	15.5	16.7	-1.16
Jake Tsakalidis	19	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-3	2	15.7	14.8	0.93	17.2	15.9	1.30
Jake Voskuhl	53	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-7	10	14.7	15.3	-0.67	15.7	16.8	-1.04
Bo Outlaw	49	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-3	2	15.1	14.7	0.38	16.5	15.8	0.64
Shawn Marion	84	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	-1	-2	14.8	16.7	-1.98	16.4	13.4	2.98
Anfernee Hardaway	82	82	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.43	-6	2	-8	15.5	10.8	4.65	16.7	12.3	4.43
Stephon Marbury	70	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	3	-10	14.8	15.4	-0.55	15.5	18.4	-2.92
Rodney Rogers	62	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.43	-8	4	-12	15.0	14.9	0.02	16.2	16.1	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.46,0.17,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 109, SAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.83,0.62,0.45,0.16,0.42,0	91.4%
POR 95, LAL 91	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.71,0.22,0.26,0	90.8%
CHA 104, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.16,0	90.6%