inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 93 Excitement5.8 [587] MVPMonte Morris (DEN): +12.8%
Los Angeles Lakers 114 Comeback4.6 [429] LVPNikola Jokic (DEN): -14.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monte Morris0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.020.001080%0.151-0.0200%0.00
JaMychal Green0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.030.021064%0.061-0.042100%0.01
Will Barton0.000,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01850%0.052-0.052100%0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01433%0.0000.001100%0.00
Markus Howard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Vlatko Cancar0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Facundo Campazzo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bol Bol0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
R.J. Hampton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.001036%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Paul Millsap-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.01-0.031323%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.050.021753%0.025-0.154100%0.02
Nikola Jokic-0.150,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.10-0.020.021638%-0.063-0.08250%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Talen Horton-Tucker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.050.021271%0.151-0.0300%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.150.030.061967%0.172-0.05250%-0.02
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.14-0.000.03991%0.183-0.075100%0.03
Montrezl Harrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.03-0.00868%0.1010.00333%-0.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.030.02767%0.081-0.021100%0.00
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00952%0.061-0.02333%-0.02
Quinn Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Davis0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00859%0.013-0.04650%-0.03
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00420%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.0130%-0.044-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.53.331.916.831.22.829.2139.7
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +55.6%
LAL +1.8%
DEN -11.9%
LAL +9.5%
DEN -5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game16.413.514.496.9117.5111.3
season15.014.6116.0108.6
opponent14.514.4106.7112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.815.617.217.016.4
LAL16.212.711.214.313.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Markus Howard660.00-0.500.500.12-4-171313.716.6-2.8914.213.40.73
Vlatko Cancar660.00-0.500.500.12-4-171313.716.6-2.8914.213.40.73
Bol Bol660.00-0.500.500.12-4-171313.716.6-2.8914.213.40.73
R.J. Hampton660.00-0.500.500.12-4-171313.716.6-2.8914.213.40.73
Zeke Nnaji660.00-0.500.500.12-4-171313.716.6-2.8914.213.40.73
Facundo Campazzo44-0.01-0.490.470.02-1-201915.716.4-0.6517.513.34.19
Will Barton7273-0.08-0.420.330.15-8-13516.516.00.5613.712.71.03
Paul Millsap6163-0.10-0.400.300.13-8-13516.815.71.0413.912.61.29
Nikola Jokic6970-0.12-0.380.250.11-8-13516.516.00.5214.012.21.80
Isaiah Hartenstein2121-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-9-12316.716.30.3711.614.0-2.38
JaMychal Green5956-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.05-12-9-316.416.30.1713.613.40.21
Monte Morris5154-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.06-13-8-516.716.00.6212.714.4-1.68
Michael Porter Jr.4141-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.21-9-12315.916.8-0.9112.714.1-1.39
Jamal Murray7273-0.48-0.02-0.470.02-17-4-1316.914.82.0613.314.0-0.63

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Davis67660.52-0.020.55-0.092102113.014.7-1.7117.214.62.63
LeBron James70720.51-0.010.52-0.112102113.313.9-0.5616.715.51.17
Montrezl Harrell50480.500.000.490.14129313.113.9-0.8316.216.5-0.33
Kyle Kuzma51500.470.030.450.12129313.413.6-0.2415.817.0-1.20
Talen Horton-Tucker45460.470.030.44-0.031741313.413.6-0.2416.016.8-0.80
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope55530.140.36-0.21-0.30156913.713.20.5216.915.81.10
Quinn Cook650.000.50-0.50-0.06219-1714.213.40.7312.816.6-3.77
Alfonzo McKinnie650.000.50-0.50-0.06219-1714.213.40.7312.816.6-3.77
Alex Caruso3434-0.020.52-0.550.03-223-2513.613.40.2016.416.30.10
Marc Gasol4142-0.020.52-0.55-0.08219-1714.312.91.4416.116.6-0.46
Dennis Schroder6059-0.070.57-0.64-0.16318-1513.813.00.8316.416.4-0.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 98, TOR 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.52,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,193.7%
MIA 95, IND 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.6,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,193.5%
SAC 106, DEN 1160.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.51,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.95,0.96,1,1,193.4%