inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 106 Excitement6.2 [566] MVPNick Van Exel (DEN): +16.9%
Denver Nuggets 116 Comeback5.5 [116] LVPJason Williams (SAC): -13.1%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.020.001173%0.151-0.044100%0.02
Lawrence Funderburke0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.060.060.010.011064%0.0600.00580%0.01
Chris Webber0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.002055%0.071-0.03786%0.02
Tyrone Corbin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.01250%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Vlade Divac-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01762%0.033-0.072100%0.01
Corliss Williamson-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01737%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Darrick Martin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01844%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Tony Delk-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.020.04950%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Scot Pollard-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.02240%-0.052-0.03667%-0.01
Nick Anderson-0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.0160%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Jason Williams-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.03-0.02736%-0.015-0.1200%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.060.110.003157%0.253-0.095100%0.01
Roy Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.000.011464%0.0900.0000%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.05-0.011038%0.0400.001100%0.01
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.01450%0.011-0.02450%-0.01
Keon Clark0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01643%0.001-0.012100%0.00
James Posey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.010.02945%-0.0300.00450%-0.03
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00343%-0.011-0.021100%0.01
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.010.001954%0.065-0.11887%0.02
Raef LaFrentz0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.0140%-0.052-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.72.428.415.723.81.531.5128.9
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +32.2%
SAC -11.2%
DEN +23.3%
DEN +2.6%
DEN +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game13.115.615.2106.0114.9101.7
season13.814.8102.9101.5
opponent15.014.7103.7100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC11.313.714.413.213.1
DEN14.018.213.816.815.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lawrence Funderburke39410.25-0.750.99-0.1313-233613.213.00.2116.614.81.76
Corliss Williamson4040-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-8612.513.4-0.8815.215.8-0.60
Vlade Divac3938-0.07-0.430.350.04-4-6212.813.3-0.5114.816.0-1.20
Tyrone Corbin1617-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-101012.613.2-0.5414.415.8-1.46
Darrick Martin3837-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-8611.913.8-1.9115.715.50.18
Tony Delk4949-0.23-0.270.04-0.17-2-8612.513.6-1.1616.614.61.92
Nick Anderson5152-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-2-613.612.51.1614.616.6-1.92
Jason Williams5152-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-2-613.612.51.1614.616.6-1.92
Scot Pollard3636-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.19-8-2-613.512.80.7016.115.30.81
Peja Stojakovic6061-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.23-8-2-613.412.50.8815.815.20.60
Chris Webber8182-0.750.25-1.00-0.14-2111-3213.312.30.9416.013.92.06

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Van Exel92920.62-0.120.750.1616-62215.417.7-2.3112.914.9-1.95
Roy Rogers68640.57-0.070.640.1016-62216.713.23.4513.911.62.34
George McCloud64620.410.090.320.2364215.615.6-0.0113.512.41.15
Ryan Bowen62600.410.090.310.2655016.414.22.1713.312.80.47
Keon Clark43450.290.210.090.001001012.717.7-4.9112.613.5-0.87
Ron Mercer91890.200.30-0.090.20010-1016.012.03.9613.59.93.56
Chauncey Billups19190.170.33-0.160.0546-214.715.8-1.0812.013.3-1.33
James Posey22240.080.42-0.34-0.0137-415.515.6-0.0812.513.3-0.82
Bryant Stith15140.010.49-0.48-0.0219-815.715.50.1212.213.2-1.01
Raef LaFrentz2931-0.270.77-1.040.05-1121-3215.315.7-0.3611.713.7-2.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.51,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.95,0.96,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 121, PHX 1360.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.83,0.96,0.99,1,1,193.2%
ATL 85, LAL 920.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.98,1,192.8%
HOU 91, MIN 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,192.7%