NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	5.8 [628]		MVP	Byron Scott (LAL): +7.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	13.9 [121]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): -14.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	14	55%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	14	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Burton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Christian Laettner	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	17	35%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	8	48%	-0.09	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	4	70%	0.08	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	10	62%	0.11	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	16	59%	0.15	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	54%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	9	41%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.02	20	43%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	1.8	24.7	15.0	29.3	2.3	23.7	128.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +51.5%

LAL +0.1%

LAL +18.7%

ATL -15.7%

ATL -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAL	NBA	ATL	LAL	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.6	95.5	101.1	104.4
season	16.4	15.3		105.3	105.8
opponent	15.7	16.0		101.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	19.0	15.6	17.8	17.2	17.3
LAL	14.5	13.2	13.5	17.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	43	44	0.12	-0.61	0.73	0.06	2	-9	11	18.3	16.5	1.78	13.0	16.3	-3.36
Ivano Newbill	29	29	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-11	15	18.0	17.0	0.98	12.6	15.7	-3.04
Priest Lauderdale	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	18.3	17.2	1.08	10.2	15.3	-5.13
Tyrone Corbin	74	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-7	7	17.1	18.3	-1.20	15.6	9.9	5.78
Eldridge Recasner	17	17	-0.25	-0.24	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-5	3	14.9	17.9	-2.96	18.7	13.8	4.94
Jon Barry	34	35	-0.30	-0.19	-0.11	-0.12	-6	-1	-5	18.0	16.9	1.07	13.3	15.6	-2.24
Willie Burton	19	19	-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	4	-15	17.7	17.2	0.51	11.2	15.6	-4.47
Mookie Blaylock	80	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-3	-1	17.2	18.9	-1.73	15.3	9.0	6.32
Dikembe Mutombo	69	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	16.8	19.0	-2.21	16.0	10.3	5.67
Christian Laettner	70	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	6	-19	17.4	17.1	0.36	14.9	13.7	1.21

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	64	63	0.67	-0.18	0.85	0.26	14	-7	21	15.9	11.7	4.20	17.9	16.0	1.89
Eddie Jones	73	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-6	19	14.8	14.2	0.66	17.7	16.1	1.61
Elden Campbell	61	57	0.45	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-5	17	15.9	12.2	3.72	17.5	17.1	0.38
Sean Rooks	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	4	-1	12.8	16.3	-3.45	18.1	16.7	1.36
Byron Scott	39	38	0.25	0.24	0.01	0.31	-2	9	-11	16.2	13.6	2.56	16.7	17.8	-1.14
Shaquille O'Neal	72	72	0.25	0.24	0.00	0.31	-2	9	-11	15.3	12.5	2.74	16.8	19.6	-2.86
Cedric Ceballos	52	52	0.18	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	0	7	14.1	15.5	-1.39	17.9	16.5	1.36
Travis Knight	7	8	0.01	0.48	-0.47	-0.02	1	6	-5	9.3	15.1	-5.86	17.5	17.3	0.18
Kobe Bryant	18	17	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	11	-15	12.7	15.2	-2.46	15.7	17.7	-2.02
Derek Fisher	27	26	-0.18	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	14	-21	11.7	15.9	-4.20	16.0	17.9	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 106, DEN 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.51,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	92.8%
CLE 86, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.99,1,1,1	92.5%
DAL 89, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.85,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.89,0.77,0.96,1	91.5%