NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	91		Excitement	5.5 [761]		MVP	Dario Saric (MIN): +24.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	11.6 [109]		LVP	Chris Paul (HOU): -23.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.01	0.05	14	80%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	17	62%	0.10	5	-0.11	13	77%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	13	38%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.08	-0.00	8	28%	-0.11	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.15	-0.02	8	71%	0.27	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	59%	0.11	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	10	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	24	46%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.7	29.4	14.8	28.4	2.3	26.6	130.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.7%

MIN +2.6%

MIN +7.3%

MIN +11.8%

HOU -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	14.3	96.8	108.4	109.3
season	14.8	14.4		114.0	110.2
opponent	14.0	14.4		111.8	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.8	13.6	18.3	15.9	15.0
MIN	15.4	15.9	14.4	16.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	73	73	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.08	6	-18	24	14.9	15.5	-0.66	16.2	13.0	3.15
James Ennis III	48	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-18	24	14.0	16.0	-2.02	17.0	13.7	3.33
Danuel House Jr.	25	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-13	14	13.1	15.7	-2.63	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Eric Gordon	66	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.22	-1	-11	10	15.0	15.0	0.07	16.2	13.8	2.38
Chris Paul	74	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	1	-14	15.1	14.6	0.46	14.7	17.9	-3.18
James Harden	71	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	0	-12	15.4	13.8	1.63	15.6	15.0	0.54
PJ Tucker	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	1	-14	15.8	12.7	3.06	15.6	15.1	0.45
Gerald Green	21	22	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.03	-16	4	-20	15.3	14.9	0.35	12.8	16.3	-3.50
Nene	21	22	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.07	-18	6	-24	15.5	14.9	0.66	13.0	16.2	-3.15

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	53	51	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-1	14	14.6	16.5	-1.86	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Karl-Anthony Towns	65	63	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-5	22	15.8	14.8	0.92	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Andrew Wiggins	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-4	20	14.8	17.0	-2.23	15.2	14.6	0.64
Jeff Teague	70	69	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	2	8	15.8	14.5	1.33	15.2	14.5	0.72
Taj Gibson	53	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	2	8	16.4	14.3	2.11	15.2	14.7	0.49
Dario Saric	42	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	10	-8	14.3	16.4	-2.11	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Tyus Jones	25	25	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	10	-8	14.5	15.8	-1.33	14.5	15.2	-0.72
Robert Covington	75	75	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	15	-18	16.3	12.4	3.82	15.1	14.6	0.48
Gorgui Dieng	25	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	19	-26	15.8	15.3	0.46	14.9	15.1	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 103, BOS 118	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.23,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
SAC 106, DEN 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.51,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	92.7%
NJN 68, CHA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.6%