NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	5.6 [718]		MVP	Al Jefferson (BOS): +32.8%
Boston Celtics	118		Comeback	7.8 [135]		LVP	Mike Wilks (SEA): -15.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.00	9	72%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.02	12	68%	0.20	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.02	21	48%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Johan Petro	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	12	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	67%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Sene	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	5	17%	-0.10	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.18	0.15	-0.00	17	74%	0.39	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.00	0.01	9	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	2	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.04	0.04	13	68%	0.12	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Allan Ray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	18	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	31.2	15.8	24.2	2.4	31.6	132.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.0%

BOS +7.9%

SEA -0.8%

BOS +9.3%

BOS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	BOS	NBA	SEA	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	16.3	15.4	112.0	126.9	104.5
season	15.4	15.5		105.5	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.2	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.5	14.7	17.3	14.1	14.9
BOS	18.4	16.0	14.7	15.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Brown	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	11.7	15.0	-3.31	15.5	16.3	-0.77
Mickael Gelabale	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	10.7	15.1	-4.31	13.0	16.4	-3.37
Mouhamed Sene	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	11.7	15.0	-3.31	15.5	16.3	-0.77
Johan Petro	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-18	21	13.3	15.1	-1.82	18.5	15.9	2.64
Damien Wilkins	51	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-9	3	14.7	15.0	-0.28	16.5	15.9	0.58
Mike Wilks	38	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-7	-1	15.3	14.6	0.72	15.6	16.8	-1.20
Earl Watson	61	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-6	-3	14.2	16.1	-1.90	16.4	16.0	0.35
Nick Collison	74	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-7	-1	15.6	11.7	3.98	16.5	15.4	1.08
Rashard Lewis	75	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-1	-13	14.6	15.9	-1.31	16.0	17.4	-1.42
Chris Wilcox	55	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	2	-19	15.6	13.8	1.82	16.4	16.1	0.26
Ray Allen	83	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	0	-15	14.9	14.2	0.72	16.1	17.9	-1.81

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	68	68	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.10	19	-4	23	16.3	16.1	0.19	16.1	11.2	4.90
Sebastian Telfair	45	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	5	5	16.8	15.8	0.96	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Leon Powe	24	24	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	10	-5	18.0	15.7	2.35	15.0	14.8	0.12
Kendrick Perkins	46	46	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	8	-1	15.9	16.6	-0.64	14.8	15.0	-0.17
Brian Scalabrine	55	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	7	1	16.3	16.2	0.04	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Gerald Green	63	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	4	7	16.2	16.4	-0.26	14.8	15.1	-0.29
Paul Pierce	72	70	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	7	1	15.8	18.0	-2.19	14.4	16.3	-1.90
Rajon Rondo	53	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	5	5	15.6	17.1	-1.57	14.6	15.3	-0.72
Allan Ray	39	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	18	-21	16.8	15.8	1.01	14.6	15.1	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.23,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 91, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%
DAL 92, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NYK 86, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%