NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	6.6 [468]		MVP	Xavier McDaniel (NJN): +18.8%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	4.8 [57]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -25.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.01	11	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	20	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Buck Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
John Starks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	15	42%	0.00	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
John Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Charles Oakley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	13	18%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Johnson	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26	-0.19	-0.09	-0.02	16	29%	-0.14	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.09	0.02	8	87%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.10	-0.04	25	52%	0.17	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	10	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	17	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	13	47%	-0.01	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.7	26.4	15.5	28.4	2.6	32.0	128.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +46.7%

NJN +6.5%

NYK -24.0%

NJN +16.1%

NJN +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	18.0	15.6	100.0	107.0	104.4
season	15.1	15.4		102.0	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.1		106.6	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	14.7	18.2	14.8	15.5
NJN	16.4	18.0	19.7	17.9	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	33	34	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.06	9	-15	24	15.4	15.6	-0.23	18.4	17.7	0.76
John Wallace	8	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-5	4	17.5	15.3	2.17	12.4	18.4	-6.01
Buck Williams	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	1	-8	15.6	15.5	0.07	18.3	17.6	0.79
Chris Childs	60	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-8	10	15.2	16.2	-1.00	19.3	14.4	4.91
Charlie Ward	30	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	4	-14	15.4	15.6	-0.21	15.2	19.4	-4.20
Allan Houston	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-3	0	16.0	14.5	1.48	18.5	16.7	1.86
John Starks	47	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.39	-3	-3	0	14.6	16.7	-2.12	17.0	19.1	-2.11
Larry Johnson	78	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	1	-8	16.0	10.7	5.28	17.9	18.5	-0.62
Charles Oakley	70	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	4	-14	15.4	16.2	-0.80	18.2	16.7	1.48

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-4	14	18.3	16.5	1.85	16.3	12.5	3.75
Kendall Gill	73	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-4	14	18.3	15.9	2.39	16.4	10.9	5.43
Tony Massenburg	49	47	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-2	10	18.0	17.8	0.20	17.1	13.7	3.37
Joe Kleine	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-4	14	17.4	18.9	-1.45	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Kerry Kittles	48	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	-1	8	16.6	19.6	-3.01	14.6	16.8	-2.19
Eric Montross	30	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	12	-18	18.9	17.4	1.45	16.0	15.3	0.73
Xavier McDaniel	37	39	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	8	-10	17.8	18.0	-0.20	13.7	17.1	-3.37
Kevin Edwards	7	6	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	4	-2	16.3	18.1	-1.82	10.0	15.9	-5.95
Sam Cassell	61	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.24	-9	15	-24	18.3	17.0	1.34	15.0	16.8	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, ORL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.1%
DAL 92, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
GSW 75, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.98,1	93.0%