NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	68		Excitement	5.0 [795]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): +9.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	79		Comeback	5.0 [344]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -19.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	17	51%	0.05	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	52%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	4	36%	-0.01	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Sean Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.06	0.06	14	60%	-0.01	7	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.05	14	55%	0.11	3	-0.01	10	90%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	14	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	13	77%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	7	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	8	40%	0.02	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	7	0%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	8	19%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.04	-0.01	12	35%	-0.05	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.7	34.6	15.4	27.4	2.3	28.7	137.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -7.0%

CHA +9.5%

CHA +27.3%

CHA +22.0%

NJN -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHA	NBA	NJN	CHA	NBA
this game	14.4	16.9	15.3	73.9	85.9	106.0
season	15.9	16.2		98.7	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.0		101.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	12.5	13.9	15.6	14.4
CHA	16.2	18.2	18.2	15.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yi Jianlian	33	33	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.04	8	-19	27	13.8	14.7	-0.93	18.3	16.1	2.15
Josh Boone	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	0.0	14.6	-14.57	0.0	16.9	-16.89
Brook Lopez	72	72	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-14	17	14.5	14.0	0.46	17.0	16.3	0.69
Bobby Simmons	42	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	1	-13	15.7	13.3	2.39	17.3	16.5	0.82
Terrence Williams	48	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-1	-9	13.7	15.2	-1.43	15.8	18.0	-2.17
Sean Williams	20	20	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	3	-17	14.0	14.5	-0.46	16.3	17.0	-0.69
Chris Douglas-Roberts	75	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-5	-1	14.7	13.2	1.44	17.1	15.9	1.22
Courtney Lee	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	0	-11	14.2	15.7	-1.49	16.8	17.5	-0.70
Rafer Alston	88	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	2	-15	14.5	12.7	1.74	16.6	22.5	-5.86

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	53	53	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-6	23	15.6	18.7	-3.13	14.5	14.3	0.23
Boris Diaw	66	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-4	19	16.5	17.8	-1.33	14.8	13.5	1.31
Gerald Wallace	85	84	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-4	19	16.9	16.4	0.50	14.8	9.9	4.97
Raja Bell	52	53	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	0	11	17.5	16.1	1.31	14.6	14.1	0.54
Tyson Chandler	67	68	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	5	1	16.8	17.1	-0.31	14.0	15.6	-1.58
Raymond Felton	59	59	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	8	-5	17.5	15.8	1.67	14.0	15.2	-1.20
Vladimir Radmanovic	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	13	-15	16.8	16.9	-0.15	14.9	14.1	0.86
Nazr Mohammed	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	17.7	16.7	1.01	13.3	14.6	-1.29
Stephen Graham	21	22	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	17.6	16.7	0.88	13.0	14.9	-1.86
Gerald Henderson	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	12	-13	18.1	16.8	1.35	14.9	14.4	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, UTA 106	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.82,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.94,1,1	94.2%
PHX 94, ORL 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
CLE 69, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.8%