NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	69		Excitement	5.3 [781]		MVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): +11.2%
Detroit Pistons	81		Comeback	3.5 [696]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -31.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	14	64%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dajuan Wagner	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	5	0%	-0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.27	-0.06	-0.01	21	23%	-0.24	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Jenkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	17	51%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.10	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.02	15	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	62%	0.05	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	38%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.7	31.8	18.8	25.2	3.3	31.6	141.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +26.3%

DET +16.0%

DET +7.4%

DET +0.1%

DET +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	18.8	16.7	15.5	85.2	100.0	104.0
season	16.2	16.7		104.6	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.3		98.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	19.9	18.4	21.1	16.2	18.8
DET	17.9	17.6	15.7	15.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-12	12	18.9	18.8	0.03	16.2	16.8	-0.61
Anderson Varejao	27	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-15	18	17.2	19.6	-2.41	16.8	16.7	0.09
Eric Snow	3	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-11	10	14.3	19.0	-4.67	13.3	16.9	-3.53
DeSagana Diop	31	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-14	16	17.4	19.7	-2.28	16.4	16.9	-0.49
Dajuan Wagner	8	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-8	4	19.0	18.8	0.19	13.9	17.0	-3.14
Lucious Harris	35	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	18.0	19.4	-1.41	16.9	16.6	0.28
Jeff McInnis	69	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	19.1	17.2	1.95	17.2	13.7	3.45
LeBron James	76	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	18.9	17.2	1.73	16.9	13.4	3.55
Ira Newble	52	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-3	-6	19.1	18.4	0.64	16.3	17.5	-1.17
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	43	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	2	-16	19.8	17.7	2.15	17.0	16.4	0.63
Drew Gooden	54	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	3	-18	19.6	17.2	2.41	16.7	16.8	-0.09

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	72	72	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-5	22	16.7	16.9	-0.18	18.8	19.0	-0.19
Rasheed Wallace	64	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-3	18	16.9	16.0	0.92	18.8	18.8	0.06
Chauncey Billups	71	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	0	12	16.9	15.2	1.74	18.7	19.4	-0.69
Ben Wallace	67	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	0	12	17.1	14.9	2.26	19.7	15.6	4.10
Tayshaun Prince	41	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	11	-10	19.1	14.3	4.75	20.6	17.1	3.55
Ronald Dupree	18	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	7	-2	14.6	17.3	-2.79	19.0	18.8	0.23
Lindsey Hunter	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	9	-6	14.9	18.5	-3.66	16.9	20.8	-3.95
Antonio McDyess	29	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	11	-10	15.9	17.2	-1.35	17.7	19.6	-1.91
Horace Jenkins	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	20.0	16.7	3.31	16.0	18.9	-2.86
Darko Milicic	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	20.0	16.7	3.31	16.0	18.9	-2.86
Darvin Ham	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	14	-16	0.0	16.9	-16.94	0.0	18.8	-18.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
CLE 94, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1	93.8%
NJN 68, CHA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%