inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 84 Excitement6.7 [459] MVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): +9.8%
Orlando Magic 96 Comeback3.2 [569] LVPMichael Doleac (ORL): -17.0%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00950%0.0000.00475%-0.00
Hanno Mottola-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Dion Glover-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021040%0.001-0.0300%0.00
DerMarr Johnson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.00743%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Jason Terry-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.030.021661%0.074-0.114100%0.03
Brevin Knight-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01937%-0.021-0.031100%0.01
Tony Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.050.031359%0.024-0.13875%0.01
Roshown McLeod-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.0050%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.07-0.01940%-0.034-0.132100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.10-0.010.07-0.031852%0.132-0.04683%0.06
Mike Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.030.011454%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01850%0.051-0.042100%0.01
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00360%0.021-0.02475%0.01
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
John Amaechi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.05429%-0.021-0.02633%-0.03
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00460%-0.012-0.0520%-0.05
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.01643%-0.041-0.022100%0.01
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.0150%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.030.041757%-0.043-0.051283%-0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.12-0.05-0.0080%-0.1700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.534.414.826.12.432.3137.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +4.4%
ORL +2.5%
ORL +14.3%
ORL +20.0%
ORL +8.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLORLNBAATLORLNBA
this game15.614.615.587.5101.1100.9
season15.414.696.0101.6
opponent15.815.1100.8101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.815.117.216.315.6
ORL14.416.212.815.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roshown McLeod21210.05-0.550.60-0.012-141615.415.6-0.2013.714.8-1.10
Tony Smith24200.02-0.520.54-0.104-162012.716.5-3.7812.815.0-2.18
Hanno Mottola1213-0.03-0.470.43-0.061-131413.615.9-2.2915.914.41.57
Alan Henderson3431-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-9614.816.0-1.2213.515.1-1.56
DerMarr Johnson5253-0.24-0.260.02-0.07-6-6016.115.01.1215.113.91.23
Dikembe Mutombo7574-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-11-1-1015.914.41.4814.215.8-1.53
Dion Glover4442-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.06-10-2-815.016.1-1.1614.714.40.30
Brevin Knight6265-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.09-131-1416.514.02.4515.013.61.46
Jason Terry8584-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.11-131-1415.813.91.8914.415.8-1.41
Lorenzen Wright7172-0.500.00-0.50-0.18-11-1-1016.014.51.4415.112.82.30

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady85860.58-0.080.650.1415-31814.217.6-3.3915.516.1-0.58
Pat Garrity43430.53-0.030.570.1513-11414.514.6-0.1015.515.6-0.13
Darrell Armstrong76780.400.100.30-0.0114-21613.518.8-5.2816.113.32.84
Monty Williams28260.380.120.270.1875215.714.11.6214.915.8-0.96
John Amaechi40400.350.150.210.1284415.513.91.6515.515.6-0.14
Andrew DeClercq28280.140.36-0.220.0248-414.514.6-0.1017.015.01.95
Mike Miller74760.120.38-0.260.0339-614.315.4-1.0415.615.50.11
Michael Doleac25260.060.44-0.39-0.00210-811.615.6-4.0314.216.1-1.85
Troy Hudson19200.030.47-0.430.12-315-1818.813.55.2814.315.9-1.56
Bo Outlaw4041-0.030.53-0.56-0.03012-1214.614.50.0516.015.30.77
Don Reid1716-0.060.56-0.630.02-315-1817.813.93.8914.915.7-0.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 69, DET 810.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,194.0%
MIN 86, MIL 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.92,194.0%
MIN 95, POR 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,193.5%