NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	5.6 [728]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +14.0%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	3.6 [344]		LVP	JR Smith (CLE): -13.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.00	18	58%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	29	62%	0.18	6	-0.11	10	50%	-0.04
Kyle Korver	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	5	50%	0.02	5	-0.09	2	50%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	7	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	7	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	16	53%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	9	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	18	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	13	48%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	14	41%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	12	46%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	31.1	15.5	27.4	3.4	36.3	140.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +12.7%

BOS +7.2%

BOS +5.9%

BOS +19.0%

BOS +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	14.7	97.9	113.8	107.5
season	14.8	15.1		111.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		103.5	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.6	13.9	16.9	12.2	14.9
BOS	14.0	15.4	13.7	18.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedi Osman	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	6.3	15.2	-8.84	24.0	15.1	8.86
Jose Calderon	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	6.3	15.2	-8.84	24.0	15.1	8.86
JR Smith	56	55	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	-7	1	15.6	13.8	1.79	14.3	16.9	-2.60
Larry Nance Jr.	24	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-11	9	12.7	15.6	-2.97	16.7	15.0	1.64
Tristan Thompson	59	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-8	3	15.9	13.4	2.51	15.2	15.7	-0.46
George Hill	68	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-7	1	15.6	13.3	2.27	14.1	18.7	-4.60
Kyle Korver	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-8	3	13.8	15.8	-2.04	16.5	14.6	1.86
Rodney Hood	23	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	13.6	15.3	-1.75	17.4	14.9	2.52
Kevin Love	70	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-3	-7	15.5	13.2	2.39	14.9	17.0	-2.11
LeBron James	77	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-4	-5	15.2	13.7	1.51	15.1	16.9	-1.85
Jeff Green	54	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.05	-17	4	-21	14.4	15.6	-1.20	16.5	14.0	2.53

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	59	61	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.01	21	-8	29	15.8	14.7	1.09	15.0	14.7	0.33
Al Horford	74	75	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-1	15	14.9	17.3	-2.44	15.2	14.0	1.21
Marcus Morris	67	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	6	1	14.7	17.1	-2.36	15.9	12.6	3.26
Terry Rozier	70	74	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	7	-1	15.8	14.5	1.30	14.2	17.2	-2.97
Jaylen Brown	70	70	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	3	7	14.6	17.8	-3.23	15.5	13.2	2.34
Aron Baynes	35	33	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	11	-9	14.6	15.9	-1.36	16.1	14.3	1.77
Jayson Tatum	62	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	12	-11	16.4	13.5	2.87	13.5	17.9	-4.44
Semi Ojeleye	18	19	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	12	-11	16.5	15.2	1.33	13.3	15.3	-1.97
Greg Monroe	10	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	12	-11	16.6	15.3	1.31	16.8	14.6	2.21
Guerschon Yabusele	3	2	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	11	-9	20.7	15.3	5.41	8.5	15.0	-6.53
Abdel Nader	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	24.0	15.2	8.76	8.5	15.0	-6.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 76, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
ATL 90, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
BOS 96, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	94.2%